Australia: Barley exports in May rise thanks to continuing China demand

Australia shipped 544,143 tonnes of barley to China in May, up from 484,302 tonnes in April, according to the latest export data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

The May total to China is made up of 294,928 tonnes of malting barley, up substantially from 88,991 tonnes shipped in April, and this rise has more than offset a drop in feed barley shipments to 249,215 tonnes from 395,311 tonnes.

Increased shipments to China have accounted for most of the rise in total barley exports to all destinations over May, with the monthly total at 746,186 tonnes being up 36pc from 550,581 tonnes shipped in April.

Volume malting shipments to Japan, Thailand and Vietnam in May, and an increased feed barley tonnage to Japan, have also helped to boost the May figure.

Market Check head of strategy, Nick Crundall, said behind March, May was the second-biggest export month of the 2017-18 season, again supported by strong demand from China.

“China has taken 73 per cent of our May barley exports, and it’s accounted for more than 90 per cent of our total exports to May,” Mr Crundall said.

“Strong exports as we approach the tail end of our season are going to leave barley ending stocks at very tight levels, supporting domestic prices going forward.

“On top of this, we’ve already seen some new-crop sales into China, illustrating the continued demand for Aussie barley.”

Mr Crundall said the trade war between the United States and China was yet to have a tangible impact on Australia’s barley market.

“However, if tariffs reduce feed supplies into China from the US, Australian barley should be a beneficiary of this open demand.”

Vessels from southern Australia have continued to ship grain into Brisbane to help fill southern Queensland’s feedgrain deficit, and will further reduce Australia’s export surplus.

“That market is likely to continue attracting vessels around the coast, with one vessel even being originated out of Melbourne recently.

“The price spread between South Australian new-crop barley and Queensland F1 feed barley delivered Darling Downs is currently around A$110 per tonne, which illustrates the expectation of the market that these trade flows will continue into next season.”

09 July, 2018