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Newsletter Summary
Currency rates
Equities of largest breweries
Market prices change trend
Top industry news
Brewery news
Malt news
Barley news
More news
Theoretical malt prices
Malting barley prices
Table of the week
Graph of the week
On These Days
Agenda
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Average market prices
Change trend
August 09 - August 12, 2007
Crop 2006
2rs Barley €197.0-199.0
6rw Barley €170.0-172.0
2rs Malt €418.0-420.0
6rw Malt €383.5-385.5
Crop 2007
2rs Barley €272.0-274.0
6rw Barley €241.0-243.0
2rs Malt €490.0-492.0
6rw Malt €452.0-453.0

Note: Just click on the price link and you will be led to our Market Price History. Average barley market prices are French and are estimated on FOB Creil basis. Average Malt Prices are theoretical and based FOB Antwerp being estimated on French malting . The changes are compared to last Newsletter's prices. Arrows indicate the direction of the change.

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Newsletter 30a, 2007

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E-malt.com Newsletter 32b
August 09 - August 12, 2007
Quote of the week

"However beautiful the strategy, you should occasionally look at the results."
Winston Churchill


Currency Rates
Base Currency: Euro, EUR
on 08-August-2007

1 EUR = 1.3757 USD
1 EUR = 0.677 GBP
1 EUR = 1.4475 CAD
1 EUR = 1.6025 AUD
1 EUR = 163.882 JPY
1 EUR = 2.6203 BRL
1 EUR = 34.9696 RUB
1 EUR = 10.4203 CNY
 Base Currency: US Dollar
on 08-August-2007

1 USD = 0.727 EUR
1 USD = 0.4921 GBP
1 USD = 1.0522 CAD
1 USD = 1.1648 AUD
1 USD = 119.138 JPY
1 USD = 1.9162 BRL
1 USD = 25.4201 RUB
1 USD = 7.5747 CNY

EUR/USD Chart

Equities of the Largest Breweries

Top Industry News
Czech Republic: Czech beer output up at record 9.9 million hl in H1... Click here

Denmark: Carlsberg CEO denies rumours about Scottish & Newcastle takeover... Click here

India: SABMiller, APB battle over beer trademark... Click here

USA: Chang Beer, Thailand's No. 1 selling beer, comes to U.S. backed by powerful marketing effort... Click here

Japan: Sapporo posts loss after closing Osaka factory... Click here

Philippines: San Miguel sustains robust pace in 1st half 2007... Click here

Singapore: Asia Pacific Breweries records robust organic growth for Q3 2007... Click here

EU: The quantity of export licences booked by EU maltsters is a good start into the new grain year... Click here

EU: By 2009 new malt capacities of 400,000 tonnes should become operational but at the same time old factories of 150,000 tonnes are to be closed... Click here

Australia: Australia is to be re-established as the top exporter in the world... Click here

EU: Southeast Europe reports very poor barley crop results... Click here

More News
EU: The rainfalls over the past month led to an incredible rise in prices ... More Info

India: Foster’s has increased its market share to 9% from 5% ... More Info

Poland: SABMiller plc appoints Managing Director of Polish operations ... More Info

Australia: Brewer James Boag – a potential target for Lion Nathan and Coca-Cola Amatil ... More Info

Papua New Guinea: SP Brewery in to undergo million dollar upgrade ... More Info

USA & Japan: U.S. Grains Council ships food barley to Japan ... More Info

China: China International Beer Festival –the largest ever held ... More Info

UK: Dry weather aids barley harvest ... More Info

Bulgaria: Bulgaria 2007 barley crop estimated at 0.4 Mt ... More Info

USA: Pyramid Breweries Inc. reports 2Q 2007 financial results ... More Info

China: Chinese drinkers spent $59.5 billion for alcohol in 2006 ... More Info

UK: Beck's switches pounds 25 mil global business into Lowe ... More Info

New Zeeland: Barley prices set to soar ... More Info

Saudi Arabia: Ministry of Agriculture increases barley subsidies to maintain prices ... More Info

USA: Molson’s Blue Moon Belgian White Ale growing at double-digit rates ... More Info

Canada: CWB to provide funding for organic research and market development ... More Info

USA: Granite City Food & Brewery Q2 loss widens; revenues up 28% ... More Info

USA: Granite City Food & Brewery "strong buy," target price reduced ... More Info



Brewery News
Czech Republic: Czech beer output up at record 9.9 million hl in H1

Czech breweries put out a record 9.94 million hectolitres of beer in the first half of the year, a year-on-year growth of more than 4 percent, Czech Beer and Malt Association head Jan Vesely has told CTK, August 9.

Sales increased on both the Czech market and abroad. The growth was mainly thanks to warm weather, Vesely said, adding some brewers broke monthly records.

Rodinny pivovar Bernard put out more than 73,000 hectolitres of beer in the first half, up by 6.4 percent on the year.

"Compared with the same months in the previous years, we saw the best results in May, April and June," said Bernard spokesman Zdenek Mikulasek.

Budejovicky Budvar, the third largest Czech brewer, raised sales on the Czech market and abroad by around 11 percent to 611,507 hectolitres of beer in the first six months.

Weather continues to benefit beer sales, said Vesely, adding the third quarter affects full-year results the most.

Czech beer output will certainly reach the magic level of 20 million hectolitres this year given the first-half results, he said. Last year, output amounted to a record 19.8 million hectolitres.

Retailers also say this year's summer benefits beer sales. Peter Vrazba from retail chain Tesco Stores CR said beer sales ... More Info

Denmark: Carlsberg CEO denies rumours about Scottish & Newcastle takeover

Carlsberg CEO Nils Smedegaard Andersen poured cold water on ongoing rumours that the Danish brewer is considering a bid for UK peer Scottish & Newcastle, but this doesn't mean a merger couldn't happen in the long term, analysts said, according to AFX News Limited, August 9.

Market talk has been rife over the past six months as to whether a takeover of Scottish & Newcastle is on the cards, with speculation focused on Carlsberg since the Danish brewer changed its shareholder charter to enable it to issue shares.

But Carlsberg's CEO was reported in local publication Berlingske Tidend as saying this is "wild speculation."

"We are interested in buying in growth markets (East Europe and Asia, including China)," he said in an interview with the newspaper. "If we are to buy up in West Europe, the return must be good."

In response, Sanford C Bernstein analyst Trevor Stirling told Thomson Financial News he is sceptical of a Carlsberg bid for Scottish & Newcastle, but that in the long term it is possible a deal could be done between the two, perhaps in the form of a merger of equals.

"I am sceptical of a bid, as taking maximum equity and maximum debt Carlsberg could just ... More Info

India: SABMiller, APB battle over beer trademark

Brand Tiger is back in the dock, this time in a court battle involving beer giants SABMiller and Asia Pacific Breweries (APB), an arm of Heineken, The Economic Times published August 10. Informed sources said SABMiller is opposing APB’s move to bring in international beer Tiger to India on the premise that it already operates a local brand Bengal Tiger.

SABMiller acquired mild beer Bengal Tiger when it took over Mysore Breweries in June 2001, and now wants to protect the trademark in the wake of APB’s plans to bring in Tiger, which is a leading international beer present in 70 markets globally.

In fact, Tiger is the flagship of APB, which is the Singapore-based arm of Heineken, and arguably the most famous Asian beer brand.

Incidentally, Indian biscuit major Britannia has been embroiled in a Tiger trademark controversy with its foreign partner Groupe Danone, which has hogged the limelight for well over a year. This involved overseas registration of Tiger biscuits, which is Britannia’s biggest success story.

When contacted, SABMiller confirmed that there exists a legal dispute on the matter in the Delhi High Court but declined to comment any further stating ‘it is sub-judice’.

Vivek Chhabra, who has ... More Info

USA: Chang Beer, Thailand's No. 1 selling beer, comes to U.S. backed by powerful marketing effort

New York City-based International Beverage Holdings USA (IBHL USA) announced the U.S. availability of Chang Beer, Thailand's No. 1 selling beer, in a press release, August 10. Newly formed IBHL USA is the exclusive importer of Chang and is supporting the U.S. introduction of the super premium import with a powerful marketing campaign for on-premise and off-premise customers with a keen focus on the growing number of more than 5,000 U.S. restaurants that serve Thai and Asian Fusion cuisine.

"Chang is an extremely smooth, crisp and full-bodied premium 100% malt lager that is delicious, and the perfect accompaniment to flavorful Asian cuisine," said John Lennon, president of IBHL USA. "We already have commitments from many restaurants in our key markets and expect Chang to be a top-seller in these establishments and in many more as we roll out Chang across the U.S."

“We already have commitments from many restaurants in our key markets and expect Chang to be a top-seller in these establishments and in many more as we roll out Chang across the U.S.”

Award-winning Chang is an authentic Thai beer brewed by ThaiBev, which is a major player in the world drinks industry and controls ... More Info

Japan: Sapporo posts loss after closing Osaka factory

Sapporo Holdings Ltd., Japan's third-largest beer maker, posted its second straight quarterly loss after booking costs to close a factory in Osaka, Bloomberg reported August 10.

The net loss was 1.56 billion yen ($13.3 million) in the three months ended June 30, compared with a profit of 1.99 billion yen a year earlier. The figures were calculated by subtracting the first-quarter result from the first-half loss reported in a statement to the Tokyo Stock Exchange today.

Tokyo-based Sapporo is expanding overseas and promoting higher-margin premium brand beer as it competes against larger rivals Kirin Holdings Co. and Asahi Breweries Ltd. in a shrinking market. Shipments of beer and beer-like drinks in Japan fell to their lowest level in the half since records began in 1992 as the population declines and younger consumers switch to other beverages.

“Sapporo needs to focus on the growing market for premium beers and developing new categories of alcohol,'' said Shunichiro Manome, an analyst at Cosmo Securities Co. in Tokyo. “It shouldn't fight Kirin and Asahi on their turf.''

Shipments of Yebisu, its premium beer brand, rose 30 percent to 5 million cases in the six months ended June 30.

That growth contrasts with Sapporo's total alcohol ... More Info

Philippines: San Miguel sustains robust pace in 1st half 2007

San Miguel Corp. 1st half net income rises 81% to P7.88 billion, according to company’s press release, August 9.

Consolidated sales revenue reached P112.7 billion, 9% above the same period last year. While beer domestic and food businesses improved operating income by 21% and 10%, respectively, consolidated operating income declined to P8.20 billion. This is due to the increased costs of National Foods’ operations – a direct result of the prolonged drought in Australia. Beer international gained in the second quarter but San Miguel’s packaging and liquor subsidiaries, although improving, are still behind last year.
Consolidated net financing charges fell 44% to P2.23 billion, aided by the continuing strength of the peso. Other income, representing gains on the sale of Del Monte shares and gains from discontinued operations, pushed consolidated net income to P7.88 billion.

San Miguel’s domestic beer operations recorded 3% higher volumes, courtesy of a robust second quarter delivering for the business, 6% higher revenue at P21.2 billion. Operating income grew by 21% to P5.7 billion on account of stronger volumes and contained fixed operating expenses.

Overseas, San Miguel Brewing Int’l, Ltd. (SMBIL) ended the first semester with encouraging results. The second quarter’s operating income significantly narrowed the 1st quarter’s ... More Info

Singapore: Asia Pacific Breweries records robust organic growth for Q3 2007

Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd (APB) announced its unaudited results for the third quarter ended 30 June 2007, in a press release, August 10.

Quarter-on-quarter, attributable net profit before exceptionals (APBE) grew organically by S$11.0 million to S$28.9 million or 60.9% over last year. After taking into account translation difference, gestation losses and non-recurring items*, APBE was up by S$1.2 million or nearly 4% to S$31.8 million.

Organically, group profit before interest and tax (PBIT) increased by S$10.7 million to S$58.8 million or 22.3% over last year. Due to translation difference, gestation losses and non-recurring items*, PBIT declined S$3.8 million or 5.9% to S$61.3 million.

Mr Koh Poh Tiong, Chief Executive Officer, APB said, "This dilution in earnings was not unexpected and partly due to the gestation losses from our recent investments and new start-up breweries. Nevertheless, we expect our earnings rates to improve when we consider the potential of these regional investments, as was the case with our first phase of regionalisation which began over a decade ago. Fundamentally, our business remains sound and we have continued to deliver stronger organic growth rates, driven mainly by our overseas operations. In fact, IndoChina has continued to generate strong sales with an outstanding ... More Info

Malt News
EU: The quantity of export licences booked by EU maltsters is a good start into the new grain year

EU maltsters booked 154,000 tonnes of export licences during July 1 – 24, a good start into the new grain year. It can be expected that malt exports in 2007/08 will be better than the 1.75 million tonnes of last year, but they will hardly reach the 2.2 million tonnes of 2005/06, market analysts commented in a report on August 1. There is not enough malting capacity for the exports of former times.

Beer consumption is higher in a number of EU countries, viz. Poland, Spain, even in France and Germany in a modest way. Bulgaria and Romania, former “third country” customers, are now members of the Union and appear in the statistics of intra-trade. Scottish distillers need about 100,000 tonnes of malt more than in 2005/06.

EU: By 2009 new malt capacities of 400,000 tonnes should become operational but at the same time old factories of 150,000 tonnes are to be closed

Not only beer sales improve in the EU, but also whisky distillers expand their production on basis of additional demand from the “newcomers” in the world economy. Bulgaria and Romania, the new EU members, have a deficit of malt and reduce the EU surplus further.

For 2007/08 market analysts expect a malt production of 8.6 million tonnes, leaving an export surplus of 1.65 million tonnes, less again than in 2006/07. By 2009 new capacities of 400,000 tonnes should become operational, but old factories of 150,000 tonnes are to be closed at the same time. Time being it looks like a continuation of tight malt supplies in the EU – and in the world.

Barley News
Australia: Australia is to be re-established as the top exporter in the world

Light rainfalls have continued all over the country in July, good enough for the winter, but more precipitation is needed latest by spring.

The crop forecast is unchanged 9.0 million tonnes, which will re-establish Australia as the top exporter in the world, according to the analysts’ estimations.

ABB Grain was reported to have concluded an LTA for min. 1 million tonnes of feed barley annually with United Feed of Saudi Arabia.

EU: Southeast Europe reports very poor barley crop results

Southeast Europe reports very poor results, according to the latest reports. Quantities and quality of Austrian spring barley are far below normal results, protein contents up to 14 % are typical for this crop.

In the Czech Republic the acreage of spring barley had declined from 425,000 ha to 370,000 ha, a crop of 1.2 after 1.65 million tonnes of spring barley last year is forecast. Yields and screenings are bad, proteins even higher than in Austria.

In a first official forecast the Slovak government had expected a spring barley crop of 700,000 tonnes, which will not be achieved. The same quality problems exist as in Austria and Czech. Hungary reports a reasonably good crop of winter barley, but a poor spring barley crop like its neighbours.

Official barley crop figures of Romania are 320,000 tonnes vs. 750,000 tonnes a year ago, and of Bulgaria 370,000 tonnes vs. 550,000 tonnes.


Malting barley prices. French barley prices.
Nominal prices.

EURO = USD 1.3757 August 10, 2007 
 Crop year   2006   2007 
 Parity   FOB Creil   FOB Creil 
 Position   July 2006   July 2007 
Type   Variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  200.00  275.50  275.00  378.50 
2RS  Prestige  199.00  274.00  274.00  377.00 
2RS  Cellar  198.00  272.50  273.00  375.50 
2RS  Sebastien  197.00  271.50  272.00  374.50 
2RS  Astoria  197.00  271.50  272.00  374.50 
2RS  Cork   197.00  271.50  272.00  374.50 
6RW  Esterel   171.00  235.50  242.00  333.00 

Prices for Danish malting barley are available on site www.e-malt.com/MarketPrices
Theoretical malt prices.
  EURO = USD 1.3757 August 10, 2007 
Crop year  2006 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Aug 2007-Sept 2007 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  421.50  579.50  444.00  611.00  438.00  602.50  448.50  617.00 
2RS  Prestige  420.00  578.00  443.00  609.50  436.50  600.50  447.50  615.50 
2RS  Cellar  419.00  576.50  441.50  607.50  435.50  599.00  446.00  613.50 
2RS  Sebastien  417.50  574.50  440.50  606.00  434.50  597.50  445.00  612.00 
2RS  Astoria  417.50  574.50  440.50  606.00  434.50  597.50  445.00  612.00 
2RS  Cork   417.50  574.50  440.50  606.00  434.50  597.50  445.00  612.00 
2RS   Average price  419.00  576.50  441.50  607.50  435.50  599.00  446.00  613.50 
6RW  Esterel   384.50  530.50  408.50  562.00  402.50  553.50  413.00  568.00 
*  Asia Malt 70/30  409.00  562.50  431.50  594.00  425.50  585.50  436.00  600.00 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  402.50  553.50  425.00  584.50  419.00  576.00  429.50  590.50 


  EURO = USD 1.3757 August 10 , 2007 
Crop year  2007 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Oct 2007-Sept 2008 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  494.00  679.50  516.50  710.50  510.50  702.50  521.00  716.50 
2RS  Prestige  492.50  677.50  515.50  709.00  509.50  700.50  520.00  715.00 
2RS  Cellar  491.50  676.00  514.50  707.50  508.00  699.00  518.50  713.50 
2RS  Sebastien  490.50  674.50  513.00  705.50  506.50  697.00  517.50  711.50 
2RS  Astoria  490.50  674.50  513.00  705.50  506.50  697.00  517.50  711.50 
2RS  Cork   490.50  674.50  513.00  705.50  506.50  697.00  517.50  711.50 
2RS   Average price  491.50  676.00  514.50  707.50  508.00  699.00  518.50  713.50 
6RW  Esterel   452.50  623.50  476.00  655.00  470.00  646.50  480.50  661.00 
*  Asia Malt 70/30  480.00  660.50  503.00  691.50  496.50  683.00  507.00  697.50 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  472.50  650.00  495.00  681.00  489.00  672.50  499.50  687.00 

NB: Prices published are theoretical malt prices including financial cost, THC (for bulk and bags container) and all administrative costs. This prices may fluctuate according to the quantity per delivery and technical specifications.

* - 70/30 = 70% Average two Rows Spring and 30% Six Rows Winter
** - 50/50 = 50% Average two Rows Spring and 50% Six Rows Winter

Table of the week

EU Malt Export Licence Fixations

(in tonnes) 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 July 01, 2007 -
July 24, 2007  
 France   674,140  648,338  460,829  50,013 
 Germany   295,876  236,735  239,633  21,499 
 Belgium   418,344  551,396  531,255  40,674 
 Bulgaria   -  -  1,270  - 
 U.K. 201,892  190,862  144,156  13,962 
 Finland   64,986  79,357  70,783  2,017 
 Denmark    74,743  68,809  72,374  12,615 
 Sweden   78,369  96,100  90,550  8,000 
 Netherlands   49,128  92,383  78,754  - 
 Ireland   56,924  7,001  2,250  - 
 Italy  -  -  181  240 
 Austria   16,954  38,932  22,743  1,584 
 Spain   -  -  -  - 
 Greece   -  -  -  - 
 Portugal   850  1,088  992  - 
 Czech Republic   82,062  77,036  41,769  2,040 
 Poland   -  167-  -  - 
 Hungary   85,792  16,865  5,474  - 
 Slovakia   76,916  75,863  23,157  1,050 
 Lithuania  -  54  172  650 
 Total EU   2,219,661  2,180,986  1,756,941  154,353 

  Total Wheat malt, tonnes  
Total 2004 - 2005  8,162 
Total 2005 - 2006  4,693 
Total 2006 - 2007  5,404 
July 01, 2007 - July 24, 2007  895 
   
  Total Roasted malt, tonnes  
Total 2004 - 2005  27,212 
Total 2005 - 2006  23,257 
Total 2006 - 2007  30,084 
July 01, 2007 - July 24, 2007  891 
Newsletter SummaryTop

Graph of the week



These Days in Business History
August 9
1874 Harry S Parmelee patents sprinkler head
1945 US drops 2nd atomic bomb "Fat Man" on Japan destroys part of Nagasaki
1976 USSR launches Luna 24, last Lunar flight to date from Earth

August 10
1500 Diego Diaz discovers Madagascar
1961 England applies for membership in the European Common Market
1981 Coca-Cola Bottling Co agrees to pump $34 million into black business
1988 UN estimates Asia's population hit 3 billion

August 11
1909 SOS 1st used by an American ship, Arapahoe, off Cape Hatteras, NC
1950 Steve Wozniak, future co-inventor of the Apple computer, is born.
1992 The world's largest shopping center, the US$650-million, 4.2-million-square-foot Mall of America, opens in Bloomington, Minnesota.

August 12
1856 Anthony Fass patents accordion
1877 Thomas Edison invents Edisonphone, a sound recording device
1960 Echo 1, 1st communications satellite, is launched
Agenda
August 2007:
Qingdao International Beer Festival, China
International Berlin Beer Festival
Great British Beer Festival
1st International Brewers Symposium Hop Flavor and Aroma
Great Japan Beer Festival 2007 in Osaka
Brew Drinks China 2007
The 13th Australian Barley Technical Symposium, Australia

September 2007:
Belgian Beer Weekend
Great Canadian Beer Festival
Great British Beer Festival
WBA Associate in Brewing Technology Program in Chicago
WBA International Diploma in Brewing Technology Program Chicago & Munich Campuses
WorldFood Moscow

October 2007:
The International Brewing Convention 2007 , UK
Newport International Oktoberfest, USA
World Beer Festival Durham , USA
Tasting Australia
2007 Master Brewers Association of the Americas Convention

November 2007:
The International Hop Growers' Convention (IHGC) Meetings, Germany
International convention for the drink technology and PET industry, India
More events are available on site e-malt.com

Copyright © E-Malt s.a. 2007