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Newsletter Summary

Currency rates
Equities of largest breweries
Market prices change trend
Top industry news
Brewery news
Barley news
Hops news
More news
Scientific Digest
Theoretical malt prices
Malting barley prices
Price evolution
Table of the week
Graph of the week
On These Days
Agenda
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Average market prices
Change trend

September 19, 2007
Crop 2007
2rs Barley €319.0-321.0
6rw Barley €292.0-294.0
2rs Malt €548.5-550.5
6rw Malt €514.5-516.5

Note: Just click on the price link and you will be led to our Market Price History. Average barley market prices are French and are estimated on FOB Creil basis. Average Malt Prices are theoretical and based FOB Antwerp being estimated on French malting . The changes are compared to last Newsletter's prices. Arrows indicate the direction of the change.


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Newsletter 35b, 2007



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Chinese Barley Consumption, Production and Imports 1997/98-2007/08f

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Philippine Beer production (1991 - 2006)

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EU Malt Export Licence Fixations (1995/1996 - 2006/2007)



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E-malt.com Newsletter 38a
September 17 - September 19, 2007

Quote of the week

"You must make a habit of thinking in terms of a defined objective."

John Henry Patterson


Currency Rates
Base Currency: Euro, EUR
on 19-September-2007

1 EUR = 1.3873 USD
1 EUR = 0.6954 GBP
1 EUR = 1.4225 CAD
1 EUR = 1.6627 AUD
1 EUR = 159.913 JPY
1 EUR = 2.6537 BRL
1 EUR = 35.1646 RUB
1 EUR = 10.4525 CNY
Base Currency: US Dollar
on 19-September-2007

1 USD = 0.7209 EUR
1 USD = 0.5013 GBP
1 USD = 1.0254 CAD
1 USD = 1.1985 AUD
1 USD = 115.272 JPY
1 USD = 1.9128 BRL
1 USD = 25.3468 RUB
1 USD = 7.5342 CNY

EUR/USD Chart

Equities of the Largest Breweries

Top Industry News
Vietnam: Carlsberg enters into a joint venture to build a brewery in Southern Vietnam... Click here

China: Yanjing Brewery foresees 30% growth in 2007... Click here

Czech Republic: SABMiller's Plzensky Prazdroj to hike beer prices 6-8% due to rising costs... Click here

Russia: Scandal with filling Heineken's bottles with drinks made by another company in Krasnoyarsk Territory... Click here

Belgium: Duvel announces 17.6% rise in after taxes income for H1 2007... Click here

Australia: Barley production in 2007-08 recorded a significant increase from 2006-07 but well below earlier estimates as per ABARE... Click here

Canada: Barley production in 2007-08 is estimated by AAFC to increase by 24% close to the 10-year average... Click here

UK: Barley grower facing the question: “When to sell”... Click here

USA: Barley markets continue to skyrocket... Click here

Czech Republic: Hop production down in 2007... Click here

More News
Australia: Helping Australian barley growers understand new variety developments and the latest crop agronomy ... More Info

Romania: "Men's Day" boosts Bergenbier beer sales ... More Info

USA: Pittsburgh Brewery transfer complete ... More Info

Belgium: InBev announces Zone Asia Pacific leadership changes ... More Info

Black Sea: Ukraine is absent from the Black Sea market ... More Info

USA: Anheuser-Busch praises California Legislature for approving Underage-Drinking Prevention Bill ... More Info

Czech Republic: Czech beer output growth slows to 3.2% in Jan-July ... More Info

Czech Republic: Ostravar raises beer sales by 6% in H1 2007 ... More Info

Italy: Carlsberg appoints new CEO ... More Info

Russia: Baltika №4 Original is one of 50 best sorts of beer in the world ... More Info

Ukraine: Ukraine exported 2700 tonnes of barley in 9 month of 2007 ... More Info

India: Carlsberg to launch its dark beer Okocim Palone in India ... More Info

Luxembourg: Quinsa announces the submission of its form 20-F to the Securities and Exchange Commission ... More Info

Australia: Westcoast Brewery announces $100 mil expansion plan ... More Info

Belgium: Stella Artois launches a revolutionary Internet site ... More Info

UK: Beer advertisement 'appealed' to under-18s ... More Info

USA: Colorado University not selling beer to public at basketball games ... More Info



Brewery News
Vietnam: Carlsberg enters into a joint venture to build a brewery in Southern Vietnam

Carlsberg has entered into a joint venture with state-owned Hanoi Beer & Beverage Corporation (Habeco) to build a brewery in Southern Vietnam, according to Carlsberg’s press release, September 18. Carlsberg and Habeco will hold each 29%, and other external investors will hold the balance.

Earlier this year, the Vietnamese Ministry of Industry approved Habeco's choice of Carlsberg as the strategic foreign investor to Habeco in connection with the upcoming privatization of Habeco, and the new cooperation in Southern Vietnam further strengthens this strategic alliance between Carlsberg and Habeco.

The Joint Venture will have a strong brand portfolio consisting of the Carlsberg brand, one of the leading premium beer brands in Vietnam, as well as Habeco's famous Hanoi Beer, the leading beer brand in Northern Vietnam.

The name of the joint venture will be Hanoi Vung Tau Joint Stock Company. The Joint Venture brewery will be located in Vung Tau province, approximately 50 km outside Ho Chi Minh City ("Saigon"). Vung Tau is one of the fastest growing provinces in Vietnam due to among others the presence of large off-shore oil fields. The brewery will have an initial capacity of 500,000 hl.

The beer consumption in Southern Vietnam is approx. ...
More Info


China: Yanjing Brewery foresees 30% growth in 2007

Yanjing Brewery Co Ltd, Tsingtao Brewery's main domestic rival, expects to post net profit growth in excess of 30 percent in 2007 as it rides robust consumption ahead of the 2008 Beijing Olympics, Reuters reported September 18.

President Li Fucheng told reporters on Tuesday the firm, which competes in China with Tsingtao and local champions SABMiller Plc and China Resources Enterprises, should sell 4 million tonnes of beer in 2007 versus 3.53 million tonnes last year.

Volume sales should then rise gradually to 4.5 million tonnes and 5.0 million tonnes in 2008 and 2009, respectively, Li said.

"To reach this target, we plan to add 13 production lines to expand our capacity," he added.

"Driven by the Olympics, sales volume and prices of mid-to- high-end products have shot up."

Yanjing's net profit rose 11 percent to 306.9 million yuan ($40.8 million) in 2006. It posted a net profit of 193 million yuan in the January to June period of 2007, up 25 percent.

The firm dominates its home market and the northern region of Inner Mongolia, but also maintains a presence in southern Guangdong, Guangxi and central Hubei.

Yanjing remains the only major Chinese player yet to team up with a ...
More Info


Czech Republic: SABMiller's Plzensky Prazdroj to hike beer prices 6-8% due to rising costs

SABMiller PLC's Czech brewing subsidiary Plzensky Prazdroj said it is planning to increase prices by 6-8 pct later this year due to rocketing raw ingredient costs, AFX News Limited reported September 14.

In a press release, the brewer of the Pilsner Urquell and Gambrinus brands said, the current price per ton of malting barley in the Czech Republic -- a key brewing ingredient -- is approaching double last year's price.

The division of SABMiller, which produces more than 10.7 mln hectolitres of beer a year (including licensed production abroad), said the "extraordinary situation" is forcing it to bring forward its 2008 price increases, with price increases of 6-8 pct most likely to come in November and impact on all the company's brands.

Plzensky Prazdroj added there remains the prospect of further price increases in 2008 should commodity prices continue their rapid rise.

"We have thoroughly considered all the options but the situation is unsustainable," said Plzensky Prazdroj managing director Mike Short. "To maintain current beer prices, any brewer would have to compromise quality. I would be shocked if the current situation in raw materials doesn't have a similar impact on beer prices right across Europe."

A spokesperson for SABMiller said the average market increase in ...
More Info


Russia: Scandal with filling Heineken's bottles with drinks made by another company in Krasnoyarsk Territory

Dutch brewery Heineken complained of Zelenogorsk Near-Beer Plant to Krasnoyarsk Directorate for the Federal Antitrust Service (DFAS), NewsLab reported September 18. The foreign brewery says that Heineken bottles are used in Zelenogorsk to sell local drinks without the company's knowledge. The company says "Zhigulevskoe" beer is sold in glass bottles with "Under Heineken Russia Control" inscription.

Heineken believes that Zelenogorsk plant uses the company's bottles collected at the receiving point of glass containers. The antitrust service has already initiated a case over violation of Federal law No. 14 "About protection of competition". However, the first trial appointed on September 18 was postponed due to lack of information.

The next trial has not been appointed yet. In case Zelenogorsk plant is proved guilty, it faces a fine of 15 percent of the turnover, Oleg Kharchenko, DFAS head, told KNews.


Belgium: Duvel announces 17.6% rise in after taxes income for H1 2007

Duvel announces its financial results for the first half of 2007, in a press release, September 7.The consolidated turnover rises by 20.6% compared to the first six months of 2006. These results include those of Brasserie d’Achouffe, which are consolidated since September 2006. Excluding Brasserie d’Achouffe, the organic growth amounts to 12.2%. The after-tax income rises by 17.6% compared to the same period in 2006, including Brasserie d’Achouffe. The growth without taking into account Brasserie d’Achouffe amounts to 10.4%.

ACTIVITY REPORT

In the first six months of 2007, Duvel Moortgat globally presents stronger figures, both for the various brands and for the markets in which the brewery is active. Brand turnover Duvel’s turnover rises by 7.5%. The abbey beers of Maredsous rise by 18%, Bel Pils by 12%. Vedett realised an increase in turnover of 44%. Abroad, the Czech Bernard beers achieved excellent results, showing an increase in turnover of 11%. The turnover of the Ommegang Brewery beers rises by 43%. Turnover of the Chouffe beers, which have been part of the group since September 2006, rises by 40%.

These excellent results can be attributed to the superior quality of the beers and the strong prospects of Brasserie d’Achouffe, combined with the ...
More Info

Barley News
Australia: Barley production in 2007-08 recorded a significant increase from 2006-07 but well below earlier estimates as per ABARE

Australia’s barley production in 2007-08 is forecast by ABARE (Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics) to reach around 5.9 million tonnes, as per Australian Crop Report of September 2007. Although this is a significant increase from production in 2006-07, it is well below ABARE’s June estimates.

New South Wales

The area planted to barley is estimated to have increased by 12 per cent in 2007-08, to around 1 million hectares. Despite below average winter rainfall, yields are forecast to be above 2006-07 levels. Barley production is forecast to increase by around 460 000 tonnes in 2007-08, to just over 1 million tonnes.

Victoria

The area planted to barley in Victoria in 2007-08 is estimated at 920 000 hectares, an 8 per cent increase from 2006-07. Production is forecast to rise to around 1.6 million tonnes, more than three times that produced in 2006-07, refl ecting the increased area sown and average to below average yields.

Queensland

The area planted to barley is estimated to have fallen marginally in 2007-08, to 89 000 hectares, primarily refl ecting a reduction in sowings on the Darling Downs, one of the State’s major barley growing regions, because of the poor start to the season. Despite the drop ...
More Info


Canada: Barley production in 2007-08 is estimated by AAFC to increase by 24% close to the 10-year average

Barley production in 2007-08 is estimated by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canda (AAFC) to increase by 24% to 11.8 Mt, close to the 10-year average, due tohigher seeded area. However, supply is expected to only increase slightly due to significantly lower carry-in stocks.

Exports are forecast to rise sharply, while domestic use is expected to decrease slightly. Carry-out stocks are projected to decrease marginally. The average off- Board feed barley price (No.1 CW I/S Lethbridge) is forecast to increase from 2006-07 due to strong export demand.

Total production of grains and oilseeds (G&O) in Canada in 2007-08 is estimated at about 61 million tonnes (Mt), slightly lower than 2006-07 and slightly above the 10-year average. Yields for most crops are estimated to be near average despite the hot and dry weather in western and eastern Canada in July. Harvest is well underway and nearly complete in some regions. The quality of all crops is expected to be near average with a better than normal grade distribution. Protein levels in wheat and barley are expected to be above average, while the oil content of the canola and flaxseed crops may be below normal. In western Canada, production is estimated to be similar ...
More Info


UK: Barley grower facing the question: “When to sell”

There are still odd pockets of grain to be combined in Scotland, but the vast bulk of the harvest is over, Business Scotsman reported September 18.

The question now facing those farmers who have not sold their entire crop on forward contracts is the tricky one of when to hit the market. Spot malting barley of the highest quality is touching £200 per tonne, which is a record level and way above the £80 per tonne similar barley was making last September.

The malting trade appears desperate to buy barley and the general advice is certainly not to sell too quickly, though anything in the £180-£200 per tonne range has to be considered attractive. These unprecedented values for barley will eventually have to be reflected by distillers and brewers in what they charge for their drinks.

Meanwhile, next week the European Commission is expected to approve the abolition of compulsory set-aside. It is estimated that 3.8 million hectares is currently in set-aside throughout the EU, with 900,000 hectares, mostly in France and Germany, used for non-food crops. Virtually all of the set-aside is likely to be used to grow arable crops. However, much of the land in set-aside is of moderate ...
More Info


USA: Barley markets continue to skyrocket

In trying to describe the latest activity in the barley markets, Randy Brag from the Valley Grain Services in Casselton, N.D., said he is almost speechless, according to Farm & Ranch Guide, September 16.

“We are well into record high prices for both feed and malting barley and, as Brag puts it, “No one can really predict what's going to happen next. This is no man's land.”

“Prices could go up a dollar so fast or we could drop a dollar just as fast. This is as speculative as I have ever seen barley,” he continued. “Barley normally moves a nickel every once in a while, but nothing like this. To a lot of us right now this market makes no sense.”

The export market for good feed barley seems to be driving the markets at this time, Brag noted. He pointed out that a lot of factors are coming together at the same time to give support to the market.

Those market factors include a smaller crop than what was first expected in many areas of the U.S. and Canada, harvesting problems in some prime barley growing areas, harvesting difficulties in Canada, strong export demand and a need to fill vessels that are ...
More Info

Hops News
Czech Republic: Hop production down in 2007

The 2007 hop harvest in the Czech Republic is approaching its end. Saaz variety is now completely harvested, the Hop Growers Union of the Czech Republic posted in its Czech Hop Report of September 5th 2007. They said: “Although the final official results of the harvest will not be available until the end of November we estimate that due to unfavourable climatic conditions, especially very hot and also dry weather, during the vegetation period the crop results will be under long-term average. The yields of the main SAAZ hop variety were down at least 20 % compare to long-term average and down also compare to what was expected before the harvest started. The alpha content of the Saaz variety is on average under 3 %.

The harvest of the other Czech varieties should be finished next week. We expect an average crop of these varieties with an average alpha content.

At this moment we estimate that the total Czech hop production in 2007 will be around 5100-5300 t (with approx. 4200 t of Saaz variety) which means that it will be very hard to fulfil all commitments. Due to the current crop shortage there has been also some price increase in ...
More Info

Scientific Digest
Beginnings of microbiology and biochemistry: the contribution of yeast research

DESCRIPTION: James A. Barnett School of Biological Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK

With improvements in microscopes early in the nineteenth century, yeasts were seen to be living organisms, although some famous scientists ridiculed the idea and their influence held back the development of microbiology. In the 1850s and 1860s, yeasts were established as microbes and responsible for alcoholic fermentation, and this led to the study of the ro? le of bacteria in lactic and other fermentations, as well as bacterial pathogenicity. At this time, there were difficulties in distinguishing between the activities of microbes and of extracellular enzymes. Between 1884 and 1894, Emil Fischer’s study of sugar utilization by yeasts generated an understanding of enzymic specificity and the nature of enzyme–substrate complexes.
... Load full article, 73 pages, 303 Kb, PDF file


Malting barley prices. French barley prices.
Nominal prices.

EURO = USD 1.3873 September 19, 2007 
 Crop year   2007   2008 
 Parity   FOB Creil   FOB Creil 
 Position   July 2007   July 2008 
Type   Variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  323.00  448.50  282.00  391.50 
2RS  Prestige  322.00  447.00  281.00  390.00 
2RS  Cellar  321.00  445.50  280.00  388.50 
2RS  Sebastien  320.00  444.00  279.00  387.50 
2RS  Astoria  320.00  444.00  279.00  387.50 
2RS  Cork   320.00  444.00  279.00  387.50 
6RW  Esterel   292.00  405.50  247.00  343.00 

Prices for Danish malting barley are available on site www.e-malt.com/MarketPrices

Theoretical malt prices.
  EURO = USD 1.3873 September 19, 2007 
Crop year  2007 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Oct 2007-Sept 2008 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  560.50  777.50  583.50  809.50  577.50  800.50  587.50  815.50 
2RS  Prestige  559.50  776.00  582.50  807.50  576.00  799.00  586.50  813.50 
2RS  Cellar  558.50  774.50  581.00  806.00  574.50  797.50  585.50  812.00 
2RS  Sebastien  557.00  772.50  579.50  804.00  573.50  795.50  584.00  810.50 
2RS  Astoria  557.00  772.50  579.50  804.00  573.50  795.50  584.00  810.50 
2RS  Cork   557.00  772.50  579.50  804.00  573.50  795.50  584.00  810.50 
2RS   Average price  558.50  774.50  581.00  806.00  574.50  797.50  585.50  812.00 
6RW  Esterel   521.50  725.00  545.50  756.50  539.00  748.00  549.50  762.50 
Asia Malt 70/30  547.50  759.50  570.50  791.00  564.00  782.50  574.50  797.00 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  540.50  749.50  563.00  781.00  557.00  772.50  567.50  787.50 


  EURO = USD 1.3873 September 19, 2007 
Crop year  2008 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Oct 2008-Sept 2009 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  507.50  703.50  530.00  735.00  523.50  726.50  534.50  741.50 
2RS  Prestige  506.00  702.00  528.50  733.50  522.50  725.00  533.00  739.50 
2RS  Cellar  504.50  700.00  527.50  731.50  521.50  723.00  532.00  738.00 
2RS  Sebastien  503.50  698.50  526.50  730.00  520.00  721.50  530.50  736.00 
2RS  Astoria  503.50  698.50  526.50  730.00  520.00  721.50  530.50  736.00 
2RS  Cork   503.50  698.50  526.50  730.00  520.00  721.50  530.50  736.00 
2RS   Average price  504.50  700.00  527.50  731.50  521.50  723.00  532.00  738.00 
6RW  Esterel   463.00  644.00  487.00  675.50  480.50  667.00  491.50  681.50 
Asia Malt 70/30  492.50  683.50  515.50  715.00  509.00  706.50  519.50  721.00 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  484.50  672.00  507.50  703.50  501.00  695.00  511.50  709.50 

NB: Prices published are theoretical malt prices including financial cost, THC (for bulk and bags container) and all administrative costs. This prices may fluctuate according to the quantity per delivery and technical specifications.

* - 70/30 = 70% Average two Rows Spring and 30% Six Rows Winter
** - 50/50 = 50% Average two Rows Spring and 50% Six Rows Winter

Prices Evolution
Prices evolution
Source: Statistics Canada; Update: September 17, 2007
Table of the week
BARLEY PRODUCTION (2006 - 2007)

  WINTER  SPRING  TOTAL 
  Acreage
in 1000 ha
Production
in 1000 tonnes
Acreage
in 1000 ha
Production
in 1000 tonnes
Acreage
in 1000 ha
Production
in 1000 tonnes
Country 2006  2007  2006  2007  2006  2007  2006  2007  2006  2007  2006  2007 
Austria  64  74  328  360  143  119  588  357  207  193  916  717 
Belgium  42  41  330  330  37  36  49  48  367  366 
Denmark  158  159  896  922  519  440  2374  2200  677  599  3270  3122 
Germany  1483  1476  9451  8000  542  500  2515  2100  2025  1976  11966  10100 
Finland    564  550  1976  1870  564  550  1976  1870 
France  1176  1188  7617  7157  493  503  2862  2604  1669  1691  10479  9761 
Greece  75  70  188  197  75  70  188  197 
Ireland  15  18  119  122  152  153  1018  1010  167  171  1137  1132 
Italy  335  333  1239  1210  335  333  1239  1210 
Netherlands  23  21  41  40  246  200  44  43  269  221 
Sweden  27  50  301  318  1238  1360  307  326  1265  1410 
U.K.  382  370  2608  2320  494  505  2631  2640  876  875  5239  4960 
EU-13  3739  3740  22826  20689  3256  3135  15485  14377  6995  6875  38311  35066 
Portugal  45  40  106  85  45  40  106  85 
Spain  731  688  1855  2214  2502  2491  6464  9069  3233  3179  8319  11283 
Iberia  776  728  1961  2299  2502  2491  6464  9069  3278  3219  8425  11368 
Czech Rep.  103  125  385  470  426  360  1666  1380  529  485  2051  1850 
Estonia    142  139  302  320  142  139  302  320 
Hungary  172  182  659  644  122  142  422  340  294  324  1081  984 
Latvia  17  148  140  298  330  152  145  307  347 
Lithuania  14  25  376  362  728  940  382  369  742  965 
Poland  155  165  504  560  1066  1030  2696  3350  1221  1195  3200  3910 
Slovakia  18  19  58  69  167  178  617  582  185  197  675  651 
EU-10  458  503  1629  1785  2447  2351  6729  7242  2905  2854  8358  9027 
Bulgaria  177  526    20  185  190  515  370 
Romania  175  197  441  300  156  172  332  170  331  369  773  470 
Balkan  352  197  967  300  164  352  516  559  1288  840 
TOTAL EU  5325  5168  27383  25073  8369  7977  29030  30688  13694  13507  56382  56301 
Russia  17444  16200 
Ukraine  421  989    4773  11027  5194  11300  6000 
CIS  421  989    4773  11027  5194  28744  22200 
EU Barley Production without Cyprus, Malta, Slovenia and Luxemburg; their combined production is about 160000 tonnes.
Newsletter SummaryTop

Graph of the week

Source: FAS USDA
These Days in Business History
17 September
642 Arabs conquer Alexandria, library destroyed
2000 The International Monetary Fund issues its World Economic Outlook report, forecasting that "growth is projected to increase in all major regions of the world, led by the continued strength of the U.S. economy, the robust upswing in Europe, the consolidation of the recovery in Asia and the rebound from last year's slowdown in emerging markets." Just weeks later, most regions of the world are tilting toward recession.

18 September
1842 1st edition of Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, published
1851 The first edition of The New York Daily Times, which later became The New York Times, was published.
1955: The Ford Motor Company produced its 2,000,000th V-8 engine on this day, 23 years after the first Ford V-8 was manufactured.

19 September
1849 1st commercial laundry established, in Oaklan, California
1854 Henry Meyer patents sleeping rail car
1876 1st carpet sweeper patented (Melville Bissell of Grand Rapids, Mich)
1887 Dr. Graham Edgar, developer of the octane rating system, was born in Fayetteville, Arkansas, on this day.
1888 World's 1st beauty contest (Spa Belgium)
Agenda
September 2007:
Belgian Beer Weekend
Great Canadian Beer Festival
Bruxellensis Biere Festival
WBA Associate in Brewing Technology Program in Chicago
WBA International Diploma in Brewing Technology Program Chicago & Munich Campuses
Great Japan Beer Festival-Yokohama
WorldFood Moscow


October 2007:
The International Brewing Convention 2007, UK
Newport International Oktoberfest, USA
Grain Market Outlook Conference & Cereals Industry Forum Conference 2007 , UK
Great American Beer Festival
World Beer Festival Durham , USA
Belgian beer and chocolat festival
Tasting Australia
2007 Master Brewers Association of the Americas Convention


November 2007:
The International Hop Growers' Convention (IHGC) Meetings, Germany
International convention for the drink technology and PET industry, India

More events are available on site e-malt.com

Copyright © E-Malt s.a. 2007