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Newsletter Summary

Currency rates
Equities of largest breweries
Market prices change trend
Top industry news
Brewery news
Barley news
More news
Scientific Digest
Theoretical malt prices
Malting barley prices
Table of the week
Graph of the week
On These Days
Agenda
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Average market prices
Change trend

October 24, 2007
Crop 2007
2rs Barley €317.0-319.0 0.62%
6rw Barley €288.0-290.0 0.69%
2rs Malt €553.5-555.5 0.45%
6rw Malt €517.0-519.0 0.48%
Crop 2008
2rs Barley €279.0-281.0 1.06%
6rw Barley €239.0-241.0 0.83%
2rs Malt €503.5-505.5 0.79%
6rw Malt €453.5-455.5 0.55%

Note: Just click on the price link and you will be led to our Market Price History. Average barley market prices are French and are estimated on FOB Creil basis. Average Malt Prices are theoretical and based FOB Antwerp being estimated on French malting . The changes are compared to last Newsletter's prices. Arrows indicate the direction of the change.


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Newsletter 43a, 2007

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Newsletter 42b, 2007

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Newsletter 42a, 2007

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Newsletter 41b, 2007

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Newsletter 41a, 2007



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The world's seven largest malting companies (2007)

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E-malt.com Newsletter 43b
October 25 - October 28, 2007

Quote of the week

"Time is never wasted when you're wasted all the time."

Catherine Zandonella


Currency Rates
Base Currency: Euro, EUR
on 26-October-2007

1 EUR = 1.4284 USD
1 EUR = 0.6971 GBP
1 EUR = 1.3821 CAD
1 EUR = 1.58 AUD
1 EUR = 163.017 JPY
1 EUR = 2.5652 BRL
1 EUR = 35.4787 RUB
1 EUR = 10.7018 CNY
Base Currency: US Dollar
on 26-October-2007

1 USD = 0.7002 EUR
1 USD = 0.4881 GBP
1 USD = 0.9676 CAD
1 USD = 1.1062 AUD
1 USD = 114.136 JPY
1 USD = 1.7959 BRL
1 USD = 24.8389 RUB
1 USD = 7.4924 CNY

EUR/USD Chart

Equities of the Largest Breweries

Top Industry News
USA: Anheuser-Busch profit jumps 11% in 3rd quarter 2007... Click here

Denmark&Netherlands: Carlsberg and Heineken made take-over offer, S&N rejected the proposal calling it derisory... Click here

Japan: Asahi Breweries January-September Group net profit up 9.9 pct y/y... Click here

Serbia: Heineken in race for MB Brewery... Click here

China: Beijing Yanjing Brewery Q3 net profit up 36.6 pct y/y on higher sales... Click here

Czech Republic: Czech beer output up 1.5% in January-September 2007... Click here

India: Multinational beer companies closing in on United Breweries... Click here

UK: Growers consider spring malting barley as alternative to wheat ... Click here

Canada: Domestic barley prices to increase... Click here

More News
Czech Republic: Czechs worry privatization may put Budvar in foreign hands ... More Info

Zimbabwe: Barley growers will receive a bonus to boost production ... More Info

Czech Republic: Czech beer market of huge importance for brewers ... More Info

Estonia: Estonian beer Viru gets a makeover ... More Info

Bulgaria: Boliarka brewery presents Warsteiner beer in Bulgaria ... More Info

Denmark: Carlsberg's House of Beer to Distribute Budvar ... More Info

USA: Anheuser Busch donates $500,000 to those affected by South California wildfire ... More Info

Denmark: Trading in Carlsberg shares to be resumed ... More Info

Australia: Cascade brewery to diversify production range ... More Info

Netherlands: Innoconcepts to develop plastic bottles for Carlsberg ... More Info

Japan: Asahi Breweries to acquire all of Asahi soft drinks ... More Info

Chile: Kunstmann Beer reviving and renewing tradition ... More Info



Brewery News
USA: Anheuser-Busch profit jumps 11% in 3rd quarter 2007

Anheuser-Busch Cos. Inc. reported that third quarter 2007 net sales increased 7.9 percent and diluted earnings per share (excluding normalization items in 2007) increased 15.9 percent, according to company’s press release, October 24. For the nine months of 2007, net sales increased 5.7 percent and diluted earnings per share (excluding normalization items in both years) improved 9.3 percent.

“We are pleased with our earnings performance this quarter, with all of our operating segments reporting higher sales and profits,” said August A. Busch IV, president and chief executive officer of the company. “Sales volume and revenue growth in our U.S. beer business benefited from our broadened beer portfolio, with greater participation in the high end segment. The wholesaler transition and supply issues we encountered earlier this year regarding the InBev European brands have been resolved. Earnings contribution from our international segment accelerated, led by Grupo Modelo. And we continue to expect the company’s 2007 earnings per share increase to exceed our long term growth target of 7 to 10 percent.”

Consistent with the pattern in recent years, Anheuser-Busch plans to implement price increases on the majority of its U.S. beer volume in early 2008, with increases in several states in the fourth ...
More Info


Denmark&Netherlands: Carlsberg and Heineken made take-over offer, S&N rejected the proposal calling it derisory

The Consortium confirms that earlier it submitted to the Chairman of S&N a written proposal and requested a meeting to further discuss a possible offer, according to Carlsberg’s press release, October 25. The letter referred to the exclusive agreement between Carlsberg and Heineken as well as setting out the terms upon which it would be prepared to proceed with a cash offer at a price of 720 pence per share for the entire issued and to be issued ordinary share capital of S&N (the “Proposal”).

The price of 720 pence per share set out in the Proposal represents a compelling proposition for S&N shareholders:

- a multiple of 13.2 x S&N’s EV/EBITDA for the year ended 31 December 2006; and

- a premium of 36% to the share price of 531 pence on 28 March 2007 (being the date immediately before speculation first arose around a possible offer for S&N).

- a value which is significantly in excess of the standalone independent value of S&N.

Under the Proposal, the making of any offer would be subject to certain pre-conditions, all of which are waivable at the discretion of the Consortium, and all of which the Consortium believes to be ...
More Info


Japan: Asahi Breweries January-September Group net profit up 9.9 pct y/y

Asahi Breweries Ltd. reported that its group net profit grew 9.9% on year during the January-September period, citing efforts to cut costs, according to Dow Jones Newswires, October 25.

Asahi said its group net profit came to Y34.12 billion in the just-ended nine-month period, up from Y31.04 billion a year ago.

Its group sales rose 1.7% to Y1.082 trillion from Y1.064 trillion, partly due to the inclusion of baby food maker Wakodo Co., which Asahi began accounting for in the April-June quarter last year.

Asahi faces a challenge meeting its profit target as the alcoholic beverage market continues to shrink and higher raw materials costs threaten its bottom line. But the company managed to a post a higher profit by cutting its sales promotion costs.

Underscoring its move into the food and health-related fields, which Asahi hopes will help it increase revenue, the company said it will buy all the Asahi Soft Drinks shares it doesn't own via a tender offer between Friday and Dec. 6. Asahi currently holds a 51.17% stake in the soft drink unit.

For the full business year ending December, Asahi left unchanged its group earnings outlook. It continues to forecast a group net profit of ...
More Info


Serbia: Heineken in race for MB Brewery

Speculation is rife that the new owner of Novi Sad-based MB Brewery might be Heineken, according to B92, October 25.

Brewery owners are in negotiations with four big global beer priducers about the sale of their company, MB Advertising Director Vladislava Epifanić has meanwhile confirmed.

The four companies expressed interest a year and a half ago, she said, but declined to reveal their identities "for business reasons."

Epifanić also would not specify if any of the four were already present in the Serbian market.

But Belgrade daily Biznis reported on Wednesday that one of the global leaders in beer production, Holland's Heineken, was "only a step away from acquiring MB Brewery, although executives claim that the contract has not been signed yet."

The Novi Sad brewery was constructed in 2002, and has a production capacity of five million hectoliters of beer, which equals Serbia's annual consumption; therefore no one should be surprised by foreign investors' interest, according to Epifanić.

The Business Register Agency says that MB's assets are worth some EUR 145mn, while its revenues in 2006 amounted to EUR 18.5mn, with a EUR 6.5mn profit.

MB Brewery is owned by Rodić MB Holding.


China: Beijing Yanjing Brewery Q3 net profit up 36.6 pct y/y on higher sales

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co Ltd reported un-audited net profit of 192.71 mln yuan for the third quarter of the year, up 36.6 pct from 141.08 mln achieved a year earlier, on the back of higher sales, Thomson Financial News Limited reported October 26.

The beer maker achieved total operating revenue of 2.61 bln yuan during the three months to September, compared with 1.91 bln a year ago. Earnings per share rose to 0.175 yuan from 0.128.

In the first nine months, it sold 3.17 mln kiloliters of beer, up 16.97 pct from a year ago.

The company posted total revenue of 6.39 bln yuan in the first three quarters, up from 5.12 bln last year, while net profit rose to 386.16 mln yuan from 295.51 mln.

The company did not provide any earnings forecast for the remainder of the year.

(1 usd = 7.49 yuan)


Czech Republic: Czech beer output up 1.5% in January-September 2007

Czech beer output reached 15.08 million hectolitres in the first nine months of 2007, up 1.5% year-on-year, with growth ebbing between July and September, according to data of the Czech Beer and Malt Association, ČTK reported October 25.

In Jan to June, breweries reported record results, output up by nearly 4 percent year-on-year.

"The second half is quite different than the first one," the Association's chairman Jan Vesely told CTK.

The warm weather started much earlier this year compared with last year's winter, he said.

Weather conditions in the second half of the year, however, were more or less similar. Worse results for the period will be mainly affected by a slower growth in beer exports, said Vesely. Figures are not available yet, though, he added.

Beer exports in the first half of the year amounted to 1.78 million hectolitres, a growth of 4.2 percent on the year, while in the same year-ago period it was a two-digit growth.

"Such a growth could not last for ever," said Vesely.

Full-year beer output could possibly rise to 20 million hectolitres, said Vesely. Last year, it totalled 19.8 million.


India: Multinational beer companies closing in on United Breweries

Vijay Mallya's United Breweries has held a vice-like grip over the Indian beer market with the Kingfisher, Kalyani and Sandpiper brands. With 137 million cases (12 bottles each), it has a 45 per cent market share, according to Rediff News, October 26. But now multinationals are closing in on UB.

SABMiller has 35 per cent market share after its acquisitions in the country. Its biggest buy was Shaw Wallace's beer business. It is yet to roll out its global flagship, Castle, in India.

Other global brands such as Budweiser, Heineken, Carlsberg, Cobra and Beck's have managed a 12 per cent market share.

Thus, overseas companies now lord over the beer market with a total 47 per cent share.

"The entry of MNC beer companies is likely to stimulate the industry. But, with its proven experience and leadership, UB may capture a dominant share in this growth," says a UB spokesperson.

For MNC beer companies, India is the next frontier. Per capita beer consumption is still low at 0.7 litres a year.

Current growth is pitched at 13 per cent and the beer market is expected to more than double to 23.3 million hectolitres by 2012. Hence, despite consumption being low, ...
More Info

Barley News
UK: Growers consider spring malting barley as alternative to wheat

Growers confident of achieving a full malting specification may be better off switching from late drilled winter wheat to a leading spring malting barley, given grain prices quoted for harvest 2008, FarmingUK reported October 24.

That's the view of Graham Redman, research economist at Andersons, who points out that gross margin figures based on prices for harvest 2008 movement put spring malting barley ahead of winter wheat by over £180/ha.

"Bear in mind that these figures do not take account of any value for baled straw, which in the case of spring barley can be worth anything up to £150/ha, depending on location and quality," he says.

That said, where the straw is sold, higher P and K inputs would be required to replace nutrient removal, costing in the region of £15-20/ha, he notes.

Mr Redman's gross margin calculations are based on a grower achieving just 80% of HGCA Recommended List yields, and use grain prices quoted by national merchants during October 2007 for 2008 harvest, and input costs based on merchant recommendations. For feed winter wheat, these equate to a yield of 8.16 t/ha at a grain price of £115/t, and with a total variable cost of £325/ha, to give a gross margin ...
More Info


Canada: Domestic barley prices to increase

Canadian domestic feed barley prices, No.1 CW I/S Lethbridge, are forecast at $180-200/t versus $165/t in 2006- 2007, according to Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, October 12. The Lethbridge feed barley price has averaged $182/t to-date for 2007-2008.

Barley prices are expected to be strongly supported throughout 2007- 2008 by low world barley stocks (and coarse grain stocks in general), and high domestic and international feed use demand. However, the strength of the Canadian dollar is expected to pressure Canadian prices in 2007- 2008. In addition, increased imports of corn into western Canada have the potential to pressure feed barley prices.

Scientific Digest
Phenological Development of Spring Barley in a Short-Season Growing Area

Submitted by A. Toivola, P. Varjú and J. Torrent on behalf of the Analysis Committee of the European Brewery Convention

Abstract:
Methods for the determination of alcohol in low and non alcohol beers by gas chromatography with flame ionization detection (GC-FID), near infra red spectroscopy (NIR) and catalytic combustion (CC) were collaboratively tested by the Analysis Committee of the European Brewery Convention according to ISO Standard 5725 in order to determine their suitability for publication in Analytica-EBC. Accuracy, repeatability (r95) and reproducibility (R95) values are presented. The GC-FID method was found to have better within and between laboratory precision than the other two methods for the determination of alcohol in the non alcohol (0,007- 0,08 % V/V) beers and comparable precision for the low alcohol (0,37-0,81 % V/V) beers. Over the whole range 0,007 to 0,81 % V/V of alcohol, repeatability (r95) was found to be dependent on the mean value and was 0,096 m % V/V whereas reproducibility (R95) was found to be independent of the mean value and was 0,090 % V/V. The gas chromatographic method is recommended for inclusion in Analytica-EBC as the reference method for the determination of alcohol in non and low alcohol (<1,0 % V/V) beer samples. The NIR and CC methods have acceptable within and between laboratory precision figures for the determination of alcohol in the low alcohol beers. For the NIR method, repeatability (r95) and reproducibility (R95) were found to be independent of the mean value and were 0,022 % V/V and 0,103 % V/V respectively over the range of alcohol tested (0,007-0,81 % V/V). The method is recommended for inclusion in Analytica-EBC for the determination of alcohol in low alcohol beer samples (>0,37 % V/V). For the CC method, both repeatability (r95) and the reproducibility (R95) were found to be independent of the mean and were 0,016 % V/V and 0,087 % V/V respectively over the range of alcohol tested (0,007-0,81 % V/V). The method is recommended for inclusion in Analytica-EBC for the determination of alcohol in low alcohol (>0,37 % V/V) beer samples.
... Load full article, 10 pages, 317 Kb, PDF file



Advertisement: TAU Competence

Malting barley prices. French barley prices.
Nominal prices.

EURO = USD 1.4284 October 26, 2007 
 Crop year   2007   2008 
 Parity   FOB Creil   FOB Creil 
 Position   July 2007   July 2008 
Type   Variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  320.00  457.50  282.00  403.00 
2RS  Prestige  319.00  456.00  281.00  401.50 
2RS  Cellar  318.00  454.50  280.00  400.00 
2RS  Sebastien  317.00  453.00  279.00  398.50 
2RS  Astoria  317.00  453.00  279.00  398.50 
2RS  Cork   317.00  453.00  279.00  398.50 
6RW  Esterel   289.00  413.00  240.00  343.00 

Prices for Danish malting barley are available on site www.e-malt.com/MarketPrices

Theoretical malt prices.
  EURO = USD 1.4284 October 26, 2007 
Crop year  2007 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Oct 2007-Sept 2008 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  557.00  795.50  579.50  828.00  573.50  819.00  584.00  834.50 
2RS  Prestige  555.50  793.50  578.50  826.50  572.50  817.50  583.00  832.50 
2RS  Cellar  554.50  792.00  577.50  824.50  571.00  815.50  581.50  830.50 
2RS  Sebastien  553.50  790.50  576.00  822.50  570.00  814.00  580.50  829.00 
2RS  Astoria  553.50  790.50  576.00  822.50  570.00  814.00  580.50  829.00 
2RS  Cork   553.50  790.50  576.00  822.50  570.00  814.00  580.50  829.00 
2RS   Average price  554.50  792.00  577.50  824.50  571.00  815.50  581.50  830.50 
6RW  Esterel   518.00  741.00  541.50  773.50  535.50  764.50  546.00  779.50 
Asia Malt 70/30  544.00  776.50  566.50  809.50  560.50  800.50  571.00  815.50 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  536.50  766.50  559.50  799.00  553.50  790.00  563.50  805.50 


  EURO = USD 1.4284 October 26, 2007 
Crop year  2008 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Oct 2008-Sept 2009 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  507.50  724.50  530.00  757.00  523.50  748.00  534.50  763.00 
2RS  Prestige  506.00  722.50  528.50  755.50  522.50  746.50  533.00  761.50 
2RS  Cellar  504.50  721.00  527.50  753.50  521.50  744.50  532.00  759.50 
2RS  Sebastien  503.50  719.00  526.50  751.50  520.00  743.00  530.50  758.00 
2RS  Astoria  503.50  719.00  526.50  751.50  520.00  743.00  530.50  758.00 
2RS  Cork   503.50  719.00  526.50  751.50  520.00  743.00  530.50  758.00 
2RS   Average price  504.50  721.00  527.50  753.50  521.50  744.50  532.00  759.50 
6RW  Esterel   454.50  650.50  478.50  683.00  472.00  674.50  482.50  689.50 
Asia Malt 70/30  490.00  700.00  512.50  732.50  506.50  723.50  517.00  738.50 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  480.00  685.50  503.00  718.50  496.50  709.50  507.50  724.50 

NB: Prices published are theoretical malt prices including financial cost, THC (for bulk and bags container) and all administrative costs. This prices may fluctuate according to the quantity per delivery and technical specifications.

* - 70/30 = 70% Average two Rows Spring and 30% Six Rows Winter
** - 50/50 = 50% Average two Rows Spring and 50% Six Rows Winter

Table of the week
USA Barley Supply and Distribution

MY June/May, TY Oct/Sept 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08f
Area harvested,
thousand ha
1,669 1,913 1,627 1,323 1,194 1,420
Yield,
t/ha
3.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Production,
thousand metric t
4,940 6,059 6,091 4,613 3,920 4,612
Imports / Mkt Year,
thousand metric t
402 449 264 117 264 327
Imports / Trade Year,
thousand metric t
282 497 157 124 300 300
Exports / Mkt Year,
thousand metric t
659 409 506 605 441 544
Exports / Trade Year,
thousand metric t
552 384 771 357 500 500
Feed Dom. Cons.,
thousand metric t
1,819 1,617 2,238 1,133 1,089 1,306
Domestic Cons.,
thousand metric t
5,179 4,990 5,672 4,571 4,464 4,682
Ending Stocks,
thousand metric t
1,510 2,619 2,796 2,350 1,589 1,213
Source: USDA, October 2007, *f - forecast
Newsletter SummaryTop

Graph of the week


These Days in Business History
October 25
1492 Christopher Columbus and ship Santa Maria land in Dominican Republic
1952 Tappan sells 1st microwave oven
1960 1st electronic wrist watch placed on sale, New York City

October 26
1952 Chevrolet unveils V-8 engine
1954 Walt Disney's 1st television program, "Disneyland," premieres on ABC
1956 U.N.'s International Atomic Energy Agency statute approved

October 27
1969 Nobel prize for economy awarded to John Tinbergen
1984 Hepatitis virus is discovered
1997 Intel Corp buys Digital Equipment for $700 million

October 28
1904 St Louis police try a new investigation method- the fingerprints
1954 Nobel prize for literature awarded to Ernest Hemingway
1986 International Red Cross ousted from South Africa
Agenda
October 2007:
Newport International Oktoberfest, USA.
World Beer Festival Durham , USA
Diksmuide Beer Festival Belgium
Grain Market Outlook Conference & Cereals Industry Forum Conference 2007 , UK
Great American Beer Festival
Tasting Australia
Belgian beer and chocolat festival
Diksmuide Beer Festival Belgium
Distillers Grains Quality & Utilization Short Course
U.S. Drinks Conference 2007 UK
Ullapool Beer Festival Scotland
"Oktoberfest 2007" , 3 EDITION MONTE-CARLO
San Diego Wet Hop Festival
International Craft Beer Festival Mexico
PINT Bokbierfestival The Netherlands
2007 Master Brewers Association of the Americas Convention
Festival of Very Special Beers Belgium


November 2007:
14th Great International Beer Festival USA
The International Hop Growers' Convention (IHGC) Meetings, Germany
International convention for the drink technology and PET industry, India


December 2007:
International Grains Council - 26th Session - Tokyo
Christmas Beer Festival Belgium


April 2008:
Craft Brewers Conference World Beer Cup Awards

More events are available on site e-malt.com

Copyright © E-Malt s.a. 2007