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E-Malt.com Newsletter 41a
October 05 - October 07, 2009
Open!
Click here to get full size Newsletter


Quote of the week

“There is nothing for a case of nerves like a case of beer.”
Joan Goldstein
E-Malt.com recommends:


Currency Rates
Base Currency: Euro, EUR
on 07-October-2009

1 EUR = 1.471 USD
1 EUR = 0.9228 GBP
1 EUR = 1.5669 CAD
1 EUR = 1.662 AUD
1 EUR = 131.04 JPY
1 EUR = 2.586 BRL
1 EUR = 43.8867 RUB
1 EUR = 10.0564 CNY
Base Currency: US Dollar
on 07-October-2009

1 USD = 0.6799 EUR
1 USD = 0.6273 GBP
1 USD = 1.0652 CAD
1 USD = 1.1297 AUD
1 USD = 89.0782 JPY
1 USD = 1.758 BRL
1 USD = 29.8346 RUB
1 USD = 6.8364 CNY
Currency Rates Chart

Equities of the Largest Breweries

Equities of the Largest Breweries

Average Market Prices Change trend

October 07, 2009

Type Crop 2009 Crop 2010
2rs Barley EUR93.0-97.0 1.04% EUR114.0-118.0 0.85%
6rw Barley EUR94.0-98.0 3.23% EUR107.0-111.0
2rs Malt EUR279.0-283.0 0.53% EUR304.5-308.5 0.49%
6rw Malt EUR279.5-283.5 1.44% EUR295.0-299.0
Feed Barley EUR87.0-91.0 3.26% nq nq

Note: Just click on the price link and you will be led to our Market Price History. Average barley market prices are French and are estimated on FOB Creil basis. Average Malt Prices are theoretical and based FOB Antwerp being estimated on French malting barley. The changes are compared to last Newsletter's prices. Arrows indicate the direction of the change.


Top Industry News

EU: CVC reinforces its bid for AB InBev’s brewing assets ...Click here
Mexico & United Kingdom: SABMiller seen as the most likely buyer of FEMSA’s beer unit ...Click here
Russia: Carlsberg should be able to take market share even if the beer tax is increased – Carlsberg CEO ...Click here
Russia & Ukraine: The shape of beer and malt industries leaves much to be desired ...Click here
United Kingdom: UK Office of Fair Trade reviewing Tennents’ lager deal, C&C says the transaction cannot be reversed ...Click here
World: SABMiller to achieve significant earnings growth and increase volumes thanks to emerging markets - analysts ...Click here
Australia & United States: Australian GrainCorp to acquire the world’s fourth-largest maltster ...Click here
World: Barley crop 2009 comes out very large despite all obstacles ...Click here
EU: Barley prices below intervention level, export almost non-existent ...Click here
China: China was the largest importer of malting barley in Jan/Aug this year ...Click here


More News


Mexico: Grupo Modelo advised to consider its ‘strategic options’ ...More Info
Russia: Heineken to close one more brewery in Russia ...More Info
United Kingdom: Cask ale is the only beer category that increased sales in H1 2009 - report ...More Info
United States: Part of Washington state hop crop left on the vine ...More Info
Cambodia: Kingdom Breweries Ltd hoping to begin production at its new beer plant sometime in the middle of 2010 ...More Info
Germany: Oktoberfest 2009: fewer visitors drink more beer than last year ...More Info
Singapore: Asia Pacific Breweries issues first series of S$100 million notes ...More Info
Canada: Molson Coors launches Canada’s lowest calorie beer ...More Info
Bulgaria: No plans to introduce excises on beer so far – minister of finance ...More Info
Peru: SABMiller’s subsidiary launches new premium beer ...More Info
Go to our news database with more than 15913 articles.
Today with the possibility to be translated in 7 different languages!
DE FR SP IT PT RU CN

Brewery News

EU: CVC reinforces its bid for AB InBev’s brewing assets

Private equity firm CVC Capital Partners has put more equity into its bid for Anheuser-Busch InBev's central and eastern European (CEE) assets, two bankers close to the deal were quoted as saying by Reuters on October, 2.

According to the bankers, CVC has lifted its equity contribution to 60-65 percent of the anticipated 1.4 billion euro purchase price to clinch the sale, which is expected in the next two weeks.

"The price has gone up through the process to make the deal happen. CVC has put in more equity and the debt financing remains the same," one banker said.

The move boosts CVC's contribution to 840 million euros or more from a standard 50 percent contribution of 700 million euros, the bankers said.

CVC was not immediately available for comment.

AB InBev, brewer of Budweiser, Stella and Beck's has said it wants $7 billion from divestments to repay $45 billion of loans for InBev's $52 billion takeover last year of U.S. brewer Anheuser-Busch.

The sale is expected to be financed with a 700 million euro leveraged loan and a vendor note from AB InBev, which will allow CVC to defer some of the purchase price until a later date.

CVC's increased equity contribution also decreases leverage on ...More Info


Mexico & United Kingdom: SABMiller seen as the most likely buyer of FEMSA’s beer unit

SABMiller Plc, world’s second-largest brewer, is seen as a front-runner to buy Mexico's No. 2 brewery, owned by FEMSA, Reuters reported on October, 2.

If the deal is closed, this will possibly draw SABMiller’s rival AB InBev into a showdown in Mexico’s lucrative market, experts believe.

FEMSA’s announcement of talks regarding its beer business has fuelled speculation Mexico could be the next country to be enveloped in the wave of beer industry consolidation of recent years.

According to sources close to the situation, FEMSA has spoken with Britain's SABMiller and Heineken from the Netherlands about a possible sale of its beer operation.

Analysts say SABMiller is in a better financial position than Heineken to bid for the FEMSA Cerveza beer unit of FEMSA, which also has soft-drink bottling and convenience store units.

"We think FEMSA Cerveza is the right fit only for SABMiller," UBS said in a report, adding that debt covenants would likely limit any bid by Heineken.

Buying FEMSA's beer unit would throw SABMiller into competition in Mexico against AB InBev, which owns half of Grupo Modelo, Mexico's No. 1 brewer and the maker of Corona.

FEMSA and Grupo Modelo account for nearly all of Mexico's beer industry, with sales of almost $5 billion ...More Info


Russia: Carlsberg should be able to take market share even if the beer tax is increased – Carlsberg CEO

Danish brewer Carlsberg could grow its Russian beer market share if a tax increase proposed by the Russian government takes effect, but the overall Russian beer market would shrink, Carlsberg's chief executive was quoted as saying by Reuters on October, 2.

“This would be bad for the total market but we should be able to take market share,” CEO Jorgen Rasmussen said by telephone.

The Russian Government last week moved to the State Duma a bill to increase excise duty on beer from next year by 200%. The bill also includes an increase in 2011 and 2012 by 11% and 20% respectively.

The bill will now be discussed in the State Duma and later in the Council of Federation before it can be referred to President Dmitry Medvedev for final approval and signing. This process can take several weeks.

Russia has begun a fresh round in its age-old battle against alcoholism. The draft law targets beer, an increasingly trendy drink in Russia but one that still lags far behind vodka in popularity. Many Russians doubt its alcoholic strength.

"Beer, if consumed in moderation and in the right circumstances, cannot lead to alcoholism," said Vladimir Kuznetsov of the Russian Beer Producers' Union.

Vodka accounted for 66% ...More Info


Russia & Ukraine: The shape of beer and malt industries leaves much to be desired

Beer and malt industries in Russia and the Ukraine are really in bad shape, a report communicated earlier this month.

Beer sales are sharply down, 10 % in Russia and even more in the Ukraine. The anti-alcohol drive of the Russian government threatens to cause a further downfall of the Russian beer market.

Malt stocks and purchases were even larger in these countries than in the EU at the beginning of the crisis. Nevertheless new factories came on stream in both countries.

Now the largest maltster, Russky Solod runs at half of its capacity, all others report a reduced production. Prices ex works Russia or FOB Baltic ports are between EUR 210,- and 225,- per ton.


United Kingdom: UK Office of Fair Trade reviewing Tennents’ lager deal, C&C says the transaction cannot be reversed

The U.K. Office of Fair Trade said on October, 6 it's reviewing whether Irish drinks group C&C Group PLC's purchase of Tennents lager constitutes a merger situation that could reduce competition within the U.K. beer supply and distribution market, Dow Jones reported on the same day.

The deal with Tennents is part of C&C's central strategy to diversify away from cider and spirits. In August, C&C said it's buying the businesses of Anheuser-Busch InBev in Ireland, Northern Ireland and Scotland for GBP180 million.

The Irish drinks group played down the U.K. watchdog's announcement, however.

"This is a normal course of business for the OFT," a spokesman for C&C said. "The transaction was completed after shareholder approval and Irish Competition Authority approval. The transaction cannot be reversed."

The acquisition includes Tennents Lager, Scotland's leading lager brand where it accounts for 55% of volumes of lager sold on premises at pubs and restaurants in Scotland and around 30% of the Scottish off-trade market.

The deal also gives C&C distribution rights to certain Anheuser-Busch InBev brands in Ireland, Northern Ireland and Scotland, including Stella Artois and Beck's, which has attracted the interest of the U.K.'s OFT.

NCB Stockbrokers, which has a buy on C&C, said ...More Info


World: SABMiller to achieve significant earnings growth and increase volumes thanks to emerging markets - analysts

SABMiller can exist peacefully with its biggest rival, Belgium-based AB InBev, and achieve significant earnings growth, Morningstar communicated on October, 7.

SABMiller is a highly profitable wide-moat brewer with massive global scale and valuable assets in key markets. Although it recently lost its number-one spot after the Anheuser-Busch InBev combination, Morningstar analysts think the two giants can peacefully coexist in the world, and expect SABMiller, with its much more flexible balance sheet, to step up on the acquisition front to continue building out its scale.

SABMiller controls roughly 15% of global volume and was once the largest brewer in the world, until 2008 when second-place InBev acquired third-place Anheuser-Busch to control about one fourth of global volume. Still, SABMiller retains considerable scale. Six of the firm's brands are among the top 50 in the world, and the firm has the number-one or number-two spot in more than 90% of the markets in which it competes, including China, India, the United States, and South Africa. Its economies of scale allow it to generate robust profitability, with operating margins steadily above 20% during the last several years.

Unlike many other brewers in the world, SABMiller has considerable exposure to emerging markets, with roughly 64% ...More Info


Malt News

Australia & United States: Australian GrainCorp to acquire the world’s fourth-largest maltster

Australia’s GrainCorp Ltd. has agreed to buy United Malt Holdings Ltd. for $655 million, doubling in size by adding the world’s fourth-largest manufacturer of malt, Bloomberg reported on October, 6.

The deal will be funded by selling A$589 million ($517 million) in new shares and $200 million in debt, Sydney-based GrainCorp, eastern Australia’s biggest grain handler, said in a presentation. The shares will be sold at 20 percent less than their closing price on October, 5.

Buying United Malt from buyout firms Castle Harlan Inc. and CHAMP Private Equity will give GrainCorp customers such as brewer Foster’s Group Ltd. along with operations in the U.S., the U.K. and Canada. It will also reduce GrainCorp’s reliance on seasonal cropping conditions in Australia.

“The deal would give GrainCorp more international diversification where currently it’s very exposed to the east coast weather,” said Hugh Dive, who helps manage about $3 billion at Investors Mutual Ltd. in Sydney, including GrainCorp stock. “We’re likely to see more consolidation in the agricultural sector.”

GrainCorp, halted from trading pending the stock sale at A$5.65 each, fell 3.5 percent to A$7.092 when last traded on October, 5, giving it a market value of A$681 million. The share sale is underwritten ...More Info


Barley News

World: Barley crop 2009 comes out very large despite all obstacles

This is not only a year of another very large grain crop in the world, it is also a year of great crop concerns early in the season in the Northern hemisphere, turning into perfect crops during summer and often enough almost “last minute“, an analysts’ report summed up on October, 2.

In Europe the superb French crop was followed by very large and good crops in Germany, Scandinavia, Poland and the U.K. (quality problems in Scotland were a minor problem, when compared to the total crop).

Barley and other crops in Russia and the Ukraine were not as good as last year, but better than forecast a few months ago.

In the U.S. there was a bad beginning in spring, but finally corn and soybeans produced record yields.

In Canada it almost looked like a crop failure, before August rains and September sunshine saved the barley crop.

Weather in Australia has not turned into an El Nino system yet and gives all hope for a reasonable wheat and barley crop.

It started to rain even in Argentina, and we may see a surprise from that country as well, experts commented.


EU: Barley prices below intervention level, export almost non-existent

EU’s intervention purchases only commence in November, intervention prices are subject to strict regulations and payments are late. Therefore present market prices are below the intervention level, close to EUR 90,- ex silos in the interior of France and Germany. Prices delivered seaports are EUR 98,- in France and 100,- in Germany, both basis October, market sources report.

Export business is almost non-existent, it is estimated that the small export licence bookings of 285,000 tons since the 1st of July are to be divided into 150,000 tons or more for malting barley and little more than 100,000 tons for feed barley.

As the downside of EU feed barley offers is blocked by the intervention system after all, the barley cannot be competitive with the Black Sea, experts commented.

There are initial estimates of huge intervention purchases as of November, above all in Central-East Europe and in Scandinavia, figures of 2 -3 million tons seem entirely possible, analysts believe.


China: China was the largest importer of malting barley in Jan/Aug this year

This year, China is the largest importer of malting barley, industry analysts reported at the beginning of October. During Jan/August the country imported 1.3 mln tons, of which 658,000 tons from Australia, 395,000 tons from Canada and 254,000 tons from France.

The EU, i.e. France, had been very competitive during the past months, vague estimates of EU sales range from 250 to 400,000 tons for the crop year 2009/10, and total sales prospects are put at 400 to 600,000 tons.

EU sellers are hurt by the Euro/dollar exchange rate, and a sharp increase of container freight rates to China, from approx. US$400,- to 600,- per container. Bulk freight France-China costs US$ 50,-/55,- per ton, it is reported.

Meantime Canada sold 60,000 tons at a reported price of US$ 230,- CIF. Australia has always been the No.1 seller to China and will certainly offer new crop barley competitively. Initial sales have been done, reported prices are in the range of US$ 220,- to 230,-.

Scientific Digest

Beer Lightstruck Flavor: The Full Story

Denis DE KEUKELEIRE, Arne HEYERICK, Kevin HUVAERE, Leif H. SKIBSTED and Mogens L. ANDERSEN

Abstract:
The pronounced sensitivity of beer to light is well known and leads irreversibly to the formation of lightstruck flavor (LSF), the so-called “skunking” of beer. It is the cause of a significant shelf-life problem for the brewing industry and is the primary reason for the storage of beer in darkcolored containers. The light-sensitivity of beers was first recognized as early as in 1875, however it was not until the early sixties that the basic science underlying the formation of LSF was established. Studies using model systems showed that LSF was produced in a non-enzymic light-induced reaction involving riboflavin (1) (as a sensitizer), a suitable sulfur-containing compound, and isohumulones, the main beer-bittering principles. The typical skunky flavor was attributed to the formation of 3- methylbut-2-ene-1-thiol (MBT), a pungent off-flavor in beer with a flavor threshold of few ng per litre. Later it was shown that also direct UV irradiation of isohumulones affords radical precursors of MBT. Still, the exact reaction mechanism remained elusive until recent detailed investigations. Herein, the mechanistic details for the formation of LSF in beer are comprehensively reviewed.
Cerevisia, 33(3) 2008
Load full article from site www.cerevisia.eu

Barley Prices
EURO = USD 1.471 October 07, 2009  
 Crop year   2009   2010 
 Parity   FOB Creil   FOB Creil 
 Position   July 2009   July 2010 
Type   Variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  97.00  143.00  118.00  173.50 
2RS  Prestige  96.00  141.50  117.00  172.50 
2RS  Cellar  95.00  140.00  116.00  171.00 
2RS  Sebastien  94.00  138.50  115.00  169.50 
2RS  Tipple  94.00  138.50  115.00  169.50 
2RS  Henley  94.00  138.50  115.00  169.50 
6RW  Esterel   96.00  141.50  109.00  160.50 

French Feed Barley Prices. Nominal prices
EURO = USD 1.471 October 07,2009
Crop year 2009
Parity FOB Creil
Position July 2009
Type EURO USD
Feed Barley 89.00 130.92


Theoretical Malt Prices

  EURO = USD 1.471 October 07, 2009 
Crop year  2009 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Oct 2009 - Sept 2010 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  283.50  417.00  314.50  463.00  307.00  451.50  321.50  472.50 
2RS  Prestige  282.50  415.50  313.50  461.00  306.00  450.00  320.00  470.50 
2RS  Cellar  281.00  413.50  312.50  459.50  304.50  448.00  319.00  469.00 
2RS  Sebastien  280.00  411.50  311.00  457.50  303.50  446.00  317.50  467.00 
2RS  Tipple  280.00  411.50  311.00  457.50  303.50  446.00  317.50  467.00 
2RS  Henley  280.00  411.50  311.00  457.50  303.50  446.00  317.50  467.00 
2RS   Average price  281.00  413.50  312.50  459.50  304.50  448.00  319.00  469.00 
6RW  Esterel   281.50  415.50  313.50  461.00  306.00  450.00  320.00  470.50 
Asia Malt 70/30  281.50  414.00  312.50  460.00  305.00  448.50  319.50  469.50 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  281.50  414.50  313.00  460.00  305.50  449.00  319.50  470.00 


EURO = USD 1.471 October 07, 2009 
Crop year  2010 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Oct 2010 - Sept 2011 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  309.50  454.50  340.50  500.50  332.50  489.50  347.00  510.50 
2RS  Prestige  308.00  453.00  339.00  499.00  331.50  487.50  345.50  508.50 
2RS  Cellar  306.50  451.00  338.00  497.00  330.50  485.50  344.50  506.50 
2RS  Sebastien  305.50  449.50  336.50  495.50  329.00  484.00  343.50  505.00 
2RS  Tipple  305.50  449.50  336.50  495.50  329.00  484.00  343.50  505.00 
2RS  Henley  305.50  449.50  336.50  495.50  329.00  484.00  343.50  505.00 
2RS   Average price  306.50  451.00  338.00  497.00  330.50  485.50  344.50  506.50 
6RW  Esterel   297.00  438.50  329.50  484.50  321.50  473.00  336.00  494.00 
Asia Malt 70/30  304.00  447.50  335.50  493.50  327.50  482.00  342.00  503.00 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  302.50  445.00  333.50  490.50  326.00  479.50  340.00  500.50 

NB: Prices published are theoretical malt prices including financial cost, THC (for bulk and bags container) and all administrative costs. This prices may fluctuate according to the quantity per delivery and technical specifications.

* - 70/30 = 70% Average two Rows Spring and 30% Six Rows Winter
** - 50/50 = 50% Average two Rows Spring and 50% Six Rows Winter

Prices Evolution

Prices evolution

Table of the Week

Australian Barley Supply and Disposal

  2007-2008 2008-2009s 2009-2010f
Production 7159 6820 7898
Domestic use 2460 2523 2582
as malt and other human use 165 169 173
feed 2100 2153 2206
seed 195 202 203
Exports 4053 4141 4268
as malting barley 1083 920 989
malt (grain equivalent) 668 642 674
feed barley 2303 2579 2605
s - ABARE estimated, f - ABARE forecast. Source - ABARE September, 2009
Graph of the Week


Source: The Czech Union of Breweries and Malt-Houses

These Days in Business History
October 05
1887 Rene Cassin is born, pacifist, Nobel Peace Prize 1968
1993 Daimler-Benz becomes the first German company to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange
1902 Ray Kroc, born in Illinois, founder of McDonalds and owner of the San Diego Padres

October 06
1781 Benjamin Hanks patents self-winding clock
1889 Thomas Edison shows his 1st motion picture

October 07
1806 Carbon paper patented in London by inventor Ralph Wedgewood
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Agenda