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Newsletter Summary

Currency rates
Equities of largest breweries
Market prices change trend
Brewery news
Malt news
Barley news
More news
Theoretical malt prices
Malting barley prices
Table of the week
Graph of the week
On These Days
Agenda
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Average market prices
Change trend

15 Feb - 18 Feb, 2007
Crop 2006
2rs Barley €213.0-215.0
6rw Barley €187.0-189.0
2rs Malt €414.0-416.0
6rw Malt €379.5-381.5
Crop 2007
2rs Barley €162.0-164.0
6rw Barley €145.0-147.0
2rs Malt €337.0-339.0
6rw Malt €315.5-317.5

Note: Just click on the price link and you will be led to our Market Price History. Average barley market prices are French and are estimated on FOB Creil basis. Average Malt Prices are theoretical and based FOB Antwerp being estimated on French malting barley prices. The changes are compared to last Newsletter's prices. Arrows indicate the direction of the change.


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Other e-malt.com newsletters

Last five newsletters
See this Newsletter!
Newsletter 07a, 2007

See this Newsletter!
Newsletter 06b, 2007

See this Newsletter!
Newsletter 06a, 2006

See this Newsletter!
Newsletter 05b, 2007

See this Newsletter!
Newsletter 05a, 2007



Market price evolutions

The evolution of market prices for barley and malt, which are periodically issued with e-malt.com newsletters are published on e-malt.com site in Market Prices section. Just click here!


Available market price evolutions


E-malt.com graphs

All graphs issued with e-malt.com newsletters are published in "Graph" section of e-malt.com site.
Last five graphs

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Canada Barley Production

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Germany Beer Sales (1995-2006)

Open this Table!
World Barley Exports

Open this Table!
China Beer Consumption (1991-2006e)

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Beer Production in Russia (1991-2009f)



The graphs are updated from time to time. Just see the updates online on e-malt.com site !


All e-malt.com tables are published in e-malt.com Statistics section. The Statistics section includes Barley statistics, Malt statistics and Beer statistics. The tables related to barley are published in Barley Statistics section, the tables related to malt in Malt Statistics section and the tables related to beer in Beer Statistics section.


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E-malt.com Newsletter 07b
February 15 - February 18, 2007

Quote of the week

"If you are failing to plan, you are planning to fail."
Tariq Siddique


Currency Rates
Base Currency: Euro, EUR
on 16-February-2007

1 EUR = 1.3137 USD
1 EUR = 0.6703 GBP
1 EUR = 1.5305 CAD
1 EUR = 1.6754 AUD
1 EUR = 157.755 JPY
1 EUR = 2.7479 BRL
1 EUR = 34.468 RUB
1 EUR = 10.2008 CNY
Base Currency: US Dollar
on 16-February-2007

1 USD = 0.7613 EUR
1 USD = 0.5102 GBP
1 USD = 1.165 CAD
1 USD = 1.2755 AUD
1 USD = 120.092 JPY
1 USD = 2.0917 BRL
1 USD = 26.2373 RUB
1 USD = 7.765 CNY

EUR/USD Chart

Equities of the Largest Breweries

Top Industry News
Turkey: Anadolu Efes announced a 17% rise in y/y beer sales volume... Click here

Denmark & Poland: Royal Unibrew A/S acquires Polish brewery Browar Lomza... Click here

Belgium & USA: InBev, Anheuser-Busch shares rose after a reported merger talk... Click here

Japan: Asahi Breweries denies merger with Sapporo... Click here

Mexico: Modelo expects a 4% rise in 2007 Mexico sales volume... Click here

Denmark: Carlsberg estimates a 13% increase in operating profit due to higher sales... Click here

EU: New crop malt prices might increase... Click here

EU: EU will not import barley from Eastern Europe or South America... Click here

EU: There is a risk that malting barley supplies of crop 2006 will dry up altogether... Click here

Australia: Enough barley for maltsters... Click here

Europe: Scandinavian malting barley market situation... Click here

More News
Canada: Lakeport Brewing Income Fund announces $0.04 increase to special cash distribution ... More Info

USA & China: Anheuser-Busch to use Chinese New Year for beer promotion ... More Info

Czech Republic: Budvar now using same yeast to make beer for over a centuryit due to higher sales ... More Info

Ireland: Diageo’s beer price is to rise again ... More Info

UK: SABMiller announces partnership with British Olympic fencing team ... More Info

China: SABMiller answers firmly to China invasion ... More Info

USA: Anheuser-Busch CEO to get $1.2 million bonus ... More Info

UK: Diageo to build its first major malt distillery in Scotland ... More Info

USA: Idaho barley prices higher ... More Info

UK: AUKM ensures members of scheme independent audit ... More Info



Brewery News
Turkey: Anadolu Efes announced a 17% rise in y/y beer sales volume

Anadolu Efes beer sales volume in the twelve month period ended on 31.12.2006 was up 17% over previous year and constituted 18.8 million hectoliters, according to company’s press release, February 14.

Turkey beer

• In spite of the severe winter and exceptionally short summer period in 2006, together with the lower than expected overall tourism activity, which had a negative effect on the total consumption in the Turkish beer market, the domestic sales volume of our Turkey beer operations was in line with previous year at 6.6 mhl, assisted by the sales volume growth in the fourth quarter of 2006.

• The estimated contraction of the beer market in Turkey due to above mentioned factors, and the over performance, resulted in a market share gain in 2006, up at 82% vs. 80% in 2005.

• Including the export volume, which was also maintained at 0.5 mhl in 2006, the total sales volume of beer operations in Turkey was realized at 7.1 mhl.

• In order to further satisfy the consumers’ preferences Anadolu Efes has included “Efes Ice” and “Marmara Kırrmızı” in its product portfolio in 2006.

International beer (EFES BREWERIES INTERNATIONAL N.V.)

• Anadolu Efes’ international beer operations are conducted by Efes Breweries International N.V. (“EBI”), incorporated in the Netherlands and ...
More Info


Denmark & Poland: Royal Unibrew A/S acquires Polish brewery Browar Lomza

Danish brewery group Royal Unibrew A/S announced it has agreed to acquire Polish brewery Browar Lomza Sp zoo from Przediebiorstwo Przemyslu Spozywczego Pepees SA, Nordic Business Report Via Thomson Dialog NewsEdge reported February 15.

The acquisition price is PLN126m, in addition to which Royal Unibrew will assume debt of PLN16m.

Browar Lomza, based in Lomza in northeastern Poland, recorded sales of 630,000 hectolitres in 2006, achieving revenues of PLN91m.

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The acquisition will significantly strengthen Royal Unibrew's position in Poland and will also enable considerable synergies within sales, production, distribution, administration and purchasing.

The transaction is conditional on approvals from the Polish competition authorities.

Royal Unibrew, headquartered in Faxe in Denmark, produces, distributes, markets and sells beer, malt and soft drinks in 65 markets worldwide. The group has some 2,200 employees and breweries in Denmark, Lithuania, Latvia and Poland. Royal Unibrew is listed on the Nordic Exchange in Copenhagen.


Belgium & USA: InBev, Anheuser-Busch shares rose after a reported merger talk

Shares of Anheuser-Busch and Belgian-Brazilian brewer InBev climbed after a Brazilian newspaper reported the two have held preliminary merger talks to create what would be a worldwide brewing giant, MarketWatch reported February 15.

According to the report in Valor Economico, which cited an unnamed source, InBev is keen to hold talks about joining with the maker of Budweiser since its market capitalization surpassed that of Anheuser-Busch's at the turn of the year.

Anheuser-Busch's market capitalization as of Wednesday was $38.6 billion, while InBev, which brews Stella Artois, Brahma and Beck's among others, was $41.9 billion (32.3 billion euros).

The two would be complementary, with InBev focused on Latin America, Canada and Europe while Anheuser-Busch is the dominant producer in the stagnant U.S. market and also has sizable Mexican operations.

"Strategically, an Anheuser-Busch/InBev tie-up would be positive as the new entity would combine the largest U.S. brewer with the largest international brewer by volume," said Bryan Spillane, an analyst at Banc of America Securities, in a note to clients.

Anheuser Busch shares climbed 3.2%, or $1.62, to $51.85 in opening trading.

InBev rose as high as 10%, and in afternoon Brussels trades had gained 4.2% to 52.90 euros.

The newspaper said Anheuser-Busch ...
More Info


Japan: Asahi Breweries denies merger with Sapporo

Japan's Asahi Breweries Ltd. denied a newspaper report saying it had proposed an integration with rival beer maker Sapporo Holdings, which faces a takeover attempt by hedge fund Steel Partners, Reuters reported February 16.

Sapporo shares were overwhelmed by buy orders a day after Steel Partners Japan Strategic Fund (Offshore) L.P. said it was considering launching a tender offer for Sapporo.

Asahi shares rose by as much as 5 percent in the morning to a nine-year high.

The bid price for shares in Sapporo, Japan's third-biggest brewery after Asahi and Kirin Brewery Co. is indicated at 891 yen at midday, 12.6 percent higher than Thursday's closing level.

The Yomiuri newspaper reported that Asahi late last year proposed a business alliance under which the two companies would work together in areas such as product delivery and soft drinks as a first step, then eventually work towards a full integration.

"There has been a report that we have proposed business integration with Sapporo Holdings but there is no truth to this," Asahi said in a statement.

A re-marriage between Asahi and Sapporo, which used to be united in a single company in the early 20th century, would give them a domestic beer market share of over 50 ...
More Info


Mexico: Modelo expects a 4% rise in 2007 Mexico sales volume

Top Mexican brewer Modelo, the maker of the popular Corona beer, expects a 4 percent sales volume rise in Mexico and two-digit growth in export volume this year, according to Reuters February 15.

"We have many projects in the export market," the chairman and chief executive, Carlos Fernandez, told reporters. "They will certainly give us an important boost in exports."

Exports of Modelo's (GMODELOC.MX: Quote, Profile , Research) beer, mainly to the United States, are currently growing about three times as fast as national consumption.

Modelo is half-owned by U.S. brewer Anheuser-Busch Cos. Inc., the maker of Budweiser beer.

The company announced in November plans to build a $520 million brewery in the northern state of Coahuila to meet U.S. booming demand.

The brewery will be built at Piedras Negras, across the border from the town of Eagle Pass in Texas. It will make Corona, Corona Light and Modelo Especial beers, largely for export to the United States.

The new brewery will be completed in early 2010.


Denmark: Carlsberg estimates a 13% increase in operating profit due to higher sales

Carlsberg AS is expected to report a 2006 operating profit of 3.992 bln dkr, up 13 pct from 2005, according to a poll by RB Borsen, AFX News Limited reported February 15.

Operating profit estimates ranged between 3.905 bln dkr and 4.083 bln dkr.

Sales are expected to increase 7 pct to 40.800 bln dkr with estimates ranging between 40.970 bln dkr and 40.432 bln dkr.

Jyske Bank said Carlsberg's own 2006 operating profit estimate of 3.9 bln dkr looked 'conservative' and forecast the figure to reach 4.096 bln dkr.

The bank said Carlsberg's outlook for 2007, especially for its Western European business, will be in focus when the report is released.

Carlsberg has said it hopes to increase its operating margin in Western Europe to 10-12 pct by 2008, and the group's 2007 outlook will give an indication of how close it is to reaching that goal, Jyske Bank added.

“If Carlsberg's management succeeds in proving to the market that they can reach an operating margin of 12 pct in Western Europe, there is still upside potential in the share,” Jyske Bank said.

The Eastern European brewery Baltic Beverages Holding AB (BBH), of which Carlsberg owns 50 pct, will be Carlsberg's short to mid term growth ...
More Info

Malt News
EU: New crop malt prices might increase

It is not all excluded that new crop prices will increase on basis of the tight S/D balance of barley and malt, analysts commented on February 02. The first large brewery groups have decided to enter the new crop market now. We expect large business to develop in the coming weeks.

Barley News
EU: EU will not import barley from Eastern Europe or South America

Any hope that the EU could import barley from Eastern Europe or from South America, has almost completely disappeared. Russia had harvested large quantities of barley with shaky germination, which proves to be a real problem by now. The Ukraine has stopped possible exports since October by its new (no-)licence system.

The South American barley crop, which started quite well in Uruguay and Northern Argentina, produced lower yields and high screenings in the important southern part of the province of Buenos Aires. The remaining export surplus will remain inside South America in all probability.


EU: There is a risk that malting barley supplies of crop 2006 will dry up altogether

EU malting barley markets, which had been inactive since early December and seemed to become slightly weaker, came back to life at the very end of January. New domestic business, reported business and further interest from Russia and rumoured sales to China drove prices back to levels of early December.

There is a risk that malting barley supplies of crop 2006 will dry up altogether, at least the stocks of good two-row spring barley. Maltsters will have to rely more on winter barley and low-quality barley, or they will have to stop production for a certain period. Production stops are indeed reported from Germany.


Australia: Enough barley for maltsters

Malt barley is in short supply across Australia but maltsters are expected to keep production going until the next crops come in, The Weekly Times (Australia) reported February 14.

ABB Grain Victorian logistics manager Peter Sidley said in a good year, Australian maltsters normally consumed about 880,000 tonnes of malt barley and 2.4 million tonnes of raw malt barley was sent for export.

Australia's total production last harvest was only 800,000 tonnes.

This means Victorian maltsters will not be able to source their normal 260,000 tonnes of supply from last year's harvest, Mr Sidley told a barley information night at Warracknabeal recently.

''This year, there will be limited choice of sourcing barley and they (maltsters) will be using old stocks as long as they can,'' Mr Sidley said.

He said it was not known exactly how much carryover remained from Victoria's 2005 bumper malt barley harvest.

Another unknown is just how grain up to 22 months old will perform in a malthouse.

One solution to the supply shortage will be imports of malt barley from Western Australia, which had a better year than the eastern states.

Mr Sidley said it was not desirable to import malt barley from overseas and was unlikely this season.


Europe: Scandinavian malting barley market situation

After quiet New Year holidays in Europe and Russia market came back slowly around mid January and apart from general buying interest in West- and Central Europe the Russians decided to cover some of their needs for the spring months and the first July material, according to H. Abildstrom & Co ApS February 15.

"Record after record is being hammered down in the historical data files. January: a) wettest since 1873 (when Denmark began measuring). b) temperatures average 5 deg C or 0.1 deg above the previous record. Upto now the only month ever beating two records. We ( DK and South Sweden and parts of Finland) had winter in week 4, then mild again, then winterish week 6. Forecast: 7 days above zero in south Sweden and DK. Further north we are talking about (the usual) minus 25-30 deg c. with single days minus 12-15 only.

The winter crops have survived so far and apart from some new lakes on flooded fields we see lots of green and well advanced barley and wheat. In fact so well advanced that a longer period of minus f. inst 15 deg would unavoidably cause some winter kill unless snow cover turns up first."

Maltsters have ...
More Info


Malting barley prices. French barley prices.
Nominal prices.

EURO = USD 1.3137 February 16, 2007 
 Crop year   2006   2007 
 Parity   FOB Creil   FOB Creil 
 Position   July 2006   July 2007 
Type   Variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  216.00  284.00  165.00  217.00 
2RS  Prestige  215.00  282.50  164.00  215.50 
2RS  Cellar  214.00  281.50  163.00  214.50 
2RS  Sebastien  213.00  280.00  162.00  213.00 
2RS  Astoria  213.00  280.00  162.00  213.00 
2RS  Cork   213.00  280.00  161.00  211.50 
6RW  Esterel   188.00  247.00  146.00  192.00 

Prices for Danish malting barley are available on site www.e-malt.com/MarketPrices

Theoretical malt prices.
  EURO = USD 1.3137 February 16, 2007 
Crop year  2006 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Feb 2007-Sept 2007 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  417.50  548.50  440.50  578.50  434.50  570.50  444.50  584.50 
2RS  Prestige  416.50  547.00  439.00  577.00  433.00  568.50  443.50  582.50 
2RS  Cellar  415.00  545.50  438.00  575.50  431.50  567.00  442.50  581.00 
2RS  Sebastien  414.00  543.50  436.50  573.50  430.50  565.50  441.00  579.50 
2RS  Astoria  414.00  543.50  436.50  573.50  430.50  565.50  441.00  579.50 
2RS  Cork   414.00  543.50  436.50  573.50  430.50  565.50  441.00  579.50 
2RS   Average price  415.00  545.50  438.00  575.50  431.50  567.00  442.50  581.00 
6RW  Esterel   382.50  503.50  406.00  533.50  399.50  525.00  410.50  539.00 
Asia Malt 70/30  405.50  532.50  428.50  562.50  422.00  554.50  432.50  568.50 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  399.50  524.50  422.00  554.50  415.50  546.00  426.50  560.00 

* - 70/30 = 70% Average two Rows Spring and 30% Six Rows Winter
** - 50/50 = 50% Average two Rows Spring and 50% Six Rows Winter

Theoretical malt prices for crop 2007 are available on site www.e-malt.com/MarketPrices

Table of the week

Annual UK Barley Supply And Demand Estimates

  2000/01 2005/06 average  2004/05 Oct 2005  2005/06 Oct 2005  2006/07 Dec 2006  % change on 05/06 
 Opening Stocks  1,032  873  932  887  -5% 
 Production  6,101  5,515  5,533  5,177  -6% 
 Imports  78  80  76  85  12% 
 Total Availability  7,211  6,768  6,541  6,149  -6% 
 Human and Industrial Consumption  1,860  1,781  1,710  1,682  -2% 
 (of which home grown)  1,923  n/a  n/a  n/a 
 Usage as Animal Feed  3,389  3,146  3,135  3,079  -2% 
 (of which home grown)  3,794  n/a  n/a  n/a 
 Seed  151  132  143  143  -0% 
 Other  31  29  28  26  -7% 
 Total Domestic Consumption  5,431  5,088  5,016  4,930  -2% 
 Balance 1,780  1,680  1,525  1,219  -20% 
 Exports  795  748  638 
 Intervention Stocks  64  16  30 
 Exports/Intervention Stocks  859  764  668  337  -50% 
 Commercial End-Season Stocks  921  916  857  882  3% 
Source: DEFRA, December 2006 (July - June Years)
Newsletter SummaryTop
Graph of the week


These Days in Business History
February 15
1946 Bank of England nationalized
1955 1st pilot plant to produce man-made diamonds announced
1995 Dow-Jones closes at record 3986.17

February 16
1978 1st Computer Bulletin Board System (Ward and Randy's CBBS, Chicago)
1990 Cisco Systems, Inc. goes public on NASDAQ, selling 2.8 million shares at an initial offering price of $18 per share
1998 Tellabs Inc. acquires Coherent Communications Systems for $670 million

February 17
1878 Silver dollar became U.S. legal tender
1986 1st Francophone Summit convenes at Versailles
1989 Egypt, Iraq, Jordan and North Yemen form common market

February 18
1933 1st issue of Newsweek magazine published
1939 Golden Gate International Exposition opens on Treasure Island
1981 Chrysler Corporation reports largest corporate losses in U.S. history
Agenda
February 2007:
Singapore international beer festival.
WBA International Diploma in Brewing Technology Program Chicago
Grainworld 2007, Canada.


March 2007:
Beer Day, Iceland.
WorldFoodUzbekistan - 2007.
World Barley Malt & Beer Conference.
The 2nd International Trading Summit: Grains & Oilseeds, Turkey.


April 2007:
InterFood St. Petersburg
15th Annual International Beer Festival, USA.
The International Hop Growers’ Convention (IHGC) Meetings, France.
24th ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL BEER FESTIVAL SAN FRANCISCO




More events are available on site e-malt.com
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