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E-Malt.com newsletter - July 05 - July 07, 2004 If you want to see the web version you may click here or access http://www.e-malt.com/mcommon/newsletter28a_2004.htm

Newsletter Summary

Currency rates
Brewery news
Malt news
Barley news
More news
Theoretical malt prices
Malting barley prices
Graph of the week
Agenda
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Average market prices Change trend

Wednesday, 07-July-2004
Crop 2003
2rs Barley €112.0
6rw Barley €106.0
2rs Malt €247.5
6rw Malt €240.0
Crop 2004
2rs Barley €122.0
6rw Barley €108.0
2rs Malt €254.5
6rw Malt €237.5   

Note: Just click on the price link and you will be led to our Market Price History.
Average barley market prices are French and are estimated on FOB Creil basis.
Average malt market prices are estimated on FOB Antwerp basis.
The changes are compared to last Newsletter's prices.
Arrows indicate the direction of the change.


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Malt Market Price Evolution. Crop 2003

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French Malting Barley Price Evolution. Crop 2003


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July 05 - July 07, 2004 Currency Rates
Base Currency: Euro, EUR
on 07-July-2004

1 EUR = 1.2294 USD
1 EUR = 0.6673 GBP
1 EUR = 1.6320 CAD
1 EUR = 1.7250 AUD
1 EUR = 134.57 JPY
1 EUR = 3.7460 BRL
1 EUR = 35.6403 RUB
Base Currency: US Dollar
on 07-July-2004

1 USD = 0.8138 EUR
1 USD = 0.5427 GBP
1 USD = 1.3275 CAD
1 USD = 1.4031 AUD
1 USD = 109.49 JPY
1 USD = 3.047 BRL
1 USD = 28.99 RUB

EUR/USD Chart
Top Industry News
  • Thailand: Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd. announced on July 6 that Tiger Beer begins local brew in Thailand Click here

  • Ireland: Belgian brewing force, Interbrew announced on 6th July 2004 its intention to sell its manufacturing facilities in Northern Ireland Click here

  • Mexico: Mexican bottler and brewer Femsa announced on Monday, July 5, it plans to sell 2.5 billion pesos ($219 million) of local bond Click here

  • South African and UK-listed SABMiller plc (SAB), one of the world's largest brewers by volume, plans to sell its entire 21% stake in South African retailer Edgars ... Click here

  • China: Shares in Guangdong Brewery soared on July 6 amid speculation about a possible overseas investment in the company ... Click here

  • EU malt licence fixations July 2003 – June 29, 2004 were 2,432,075 tonnes ... Click here

  • Malt business for the year 2004 has been reported to Romania, Russia and Ukraine. ... Click here

  • Ukraine, Kiev: Sarmat brewing company is to build its own malting plant near Kiev by 2007-2008 ... Click here

  • Crop prospects in the Northern Hemisphere are really good ... Click here

  • Australia: Canberra: Australian grain marketer ABB Grain Ltd. cut on Monday, July 5, its estimate of returns for barley sale ... Click here

  • Weather in the Northern and Eastern EU has continued variable, but altogether beneficial for grain crops ... Click here

More News
  • The Philippine food and beverage group San Miguel Corp has invested in a 5% holding in the fixed-income bourse, which is being set up by the Bankers Association ...more info


  • SABMiller’s rating has been downgraded. Brokerage Investec yesterday moved its rating for the company to ‘hold’ from ‘strong buy’, following a recent strong run for the shares ...more info


  • Interbrew will look to break out of the southeast of China if the opportunity arises, according to press reports ...more info


  • Ukraine imported approx. 13 thousand tonnes of malt in January-March 2004, 4 thousand tonnes more than in the same period last year ......more info


  • Ukrainian brewers will output about 19 million hl of beer this year and will sell about 17 million hl ......more info


  • France: The Météor brewery, with a capacity of 470,000 hl in 2003, wants to increase by 50% the sales of its brands in France in five years ...more info


  • Thailand, Bangkok: A Thai brewer is set to sign a shirt sponsorship deal with premier league side Everton in Bangkok ...more info


  • Canada, Toronto: For generations, members of Montreal's upper-crust Molson family have been brought up to believe, according to a biographer ...more info


  • Germany: For the past decade, in his out-of-the-way red-brick brewery in sleepy Neuzelle near the border with Poland ...more info


  • UK: Four bids were submitted on Friday, July 2, in the 450 million pound ($823 million) auction of the Laurel Pub Company, all from rival pubs groups ...more info


  • Belgian brewer Interbrew has called on more retailers to use branded glasses. The brewer distributed more than three million glasses to the on-trade in 2003 ...more info


  • Russia will face troubles this year with sales of barley both in the local and export markets ...more info


Brewery News
Thailand: Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd. announced on July 6 that Tiger Beer begins local brew in Thailand. Further extending its leadership position as a premium Asian beer, Tiger Beer is now brewed in Thailand by Thai Asia Pacific Brewery Co. Ltd (TAPB), making Thailand the 7th country to brew the popular beer according to Asia Pacific Breweries. TAPB is an associate company of SGX main board-listed Asia Pacific Breweries Limited (APB). Since its launch in Singapore in 1932, Tiger Beer has made inroads into many markets around the world. Today, Tiger Beer is available in more than 60 countries including the United Kingdom, the United States and the Middle East. Pleased that Tiger Beer is another step closer towards achieving its goal of becoming a major Pan-Asian beer brand, Mr Koh Poh Tiong, Chief Executive Officer, APB said, "Brewing Tiger Beer in Thailand adds one more piece to the Asian map for the growth of the brand." Tiger Beer has a strong following in Asia - it is the market leader in Singapore and one of the leading brands in Vietnam and Cambodia. It is also widely enjoyed in many European cities such as London, Manchester, Dublin, Glasgow, Berlin, Copenhagen, Stockholm and many others. Currently, APB is also intensifying its marketing efforts in USA, which has seen recent demand for Tiger Beer rise. Tiger Beer is not new to the Thai beer market as Singapore has been exporting it to Thailand since the 1930s. In view of Thailand's improving economic progress, its sizeable beer market and growing affluence of its population, APB and TAPB have decided that it is now timely to brew Tiger Beer in Thailand and enlarge its foothold in this community. "TAPB has already successfully gained about 80% of the Thai premium beer market with Heineken beer. Our next step, therefore, is to grow the premium beer segment and we believe that we can achieve this by brewing Tiger Beer locally...more info

Ireland: Belgian brewing force, Interbrew announced on 6th July 2004 its intention to sell its manufacturing facilities in Northern Ireland. Interbrew wrote in a press release that it is to seek a buyer for its manufacturing facilities at Bass Ireland's Ulster brewery in Belfast. This decision follows the loss of contract bottling volume at the brewery. A successful sale would include a long-term supply contract with Interbrew UK to brew and package beer for the markets in Ireland. The sale process has now commenced and will be concluded by September 2004. However, if a viable future cannot be secured for these manufacturing facilities, they will be closed in early 2005. The Bass Ireland Ulster Brewery was founded in 1897 and is the only major brewery in Northern Ireland. It brews and kegs Bass and Tennent's Lager and kegs Stella Artois for the Northern Ireland and Republic of Ireland market places. 285 people (80 within manufacturing) are employed by Bass Ireland and a further 75 in Interbrew Ireland in the Republic of Ireland. Interbrew is a publicly traded company (INTB - Euronext) based in Belgium. The company's origins date back to 1366, and today it is one of the leading global brewers. Interbrew's strategy is to strengthen its local platforms by building significant positions in the world's major beer markets through organic growth, world-class efficiency, targeted acquisitions, and by putting its consumers first. Interbrew has a portfolio of more than 200 brands, including Beck's®, Stella Artois®, Leffe®, Hoegaarden®, Staropramen® and Bass®. It employs nearly 50,000 people, and runs operations in 21 countries across the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific. In 2003, the company realized a net turnover of more than 7 billion euro...more info

Mexico: Mexican bottler and brewer Femsa announced on Monday, July 5, it plans to sell 2.5 billion pesos ($219 million) of local bonds to finance the repurchase of a 30 % stake in its beer unit owned by Belgium's Interbrew . Femsa, the second largest Coke bottler in the world and the No. 2 Mexican brewer, said in a statement the local debt would be sold on Tuesday to investors who offer the lowest rates in an auction. Femsa, brewer of Tecate, Dos Equis and Sol beers, said the debt would be offered in two tranches of 1.25 billion pesos each, one lot for four years and the other for five years, according to Reuters. In May, Femsa agreed to pay Interbrew $1.245 billion to unwind their 10-year-old partnership. Femsa said it would finance the operation -- in which it will take back the 30 percent stake Interbrew holds in Femsa's beer subsidiary -- through cash flows and new debt. Femsa filed a 5 billion peso ($437 million) debt program with the Mexican stock exchange in May.

South African and UK-listed SABMiller plc (SAB), one of the world's largest brewers by volume, plans to sell its entire 21% stake in South African retailer Edgars Consolidated Stores Ltd (Edcon, ECO) via a private placement, the group said in a statement. SABMiller said the disposal of 11.2 million shares in Edcon would be in the form of a global private placement to South African and international institutional investors outside the US, and to qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) inside the US, via an accelerated bookbuilding exercise to be led by joint bookrunners Citigroup and JP Morgan. The bookbuilding would begin immediately and was expected to close on Thursday, July 8. SABMiller initially acquired its holding in Edcon in 1982, the majority of which was unbundled prior to SABMiller's initial public offering on the London Stock Exchange in 1999. The group said the final disposal of its residual stake in Edcon was in line with its stated strategy of focusing on its core brewing and beverage operations, Business Day posted on July 6. Edcon would not receive any proceeds from the sale, the group added. As the announcement was made after the Monday market close, Edcon's shares did not react to the news. The stock closed 2% lower on the day, at 148.00 rand from 150.99 rand at Friday's close, with 41,189 shares having changed hands in 51 transactions on the day. SABMiller's 2003/04 lager sales volumes totaled in excess of 137 million hectolitres. It has a brewing presence in over 40 countries across four continents, while outside the US, it is one of the largest bottlers of Coca- Cola products in the world. In the year ended 31 March 2004, the group generated US$1.39 billion pre-tax profit from a turnover of US$12.645 billion. SABMiller plc is listed on the London and Johannesburg stock exchanges.

China: Shares in Guangdong Brewery soared on July 6 amid speculation about a possible overseas investment in the company. The shares rose by a third, rallying in the afternoon session in Hong Kong. “People are speculating that an overseas party (is interested) but I've not heard any concrete details,” Steven Leung, trader at UOB Kay Hian Holdings, told Reuters. A company official could not immediately be reached for comment. Guangdong’s shares closed at HK$2.70, their highest level since 1997. Last month, Heineken was reported to be considering increasing its stake in Guangdong. Earlier this year, Heineken Asia Pacific Breweries China Pte Ltd, Heineken’s joint venture with Singapore’s Asia Pacific Breweries (APB), acquired a 21.5% stake in the Chinese brewer.

Malt News

EU malt licence fixations July 2003 – June 29, 2004 were 2,432,075 tonnes as compared to 2.038 million tonnes in 2002/03. A plus of 400,000 tonnes looks enormous and is not realistic, analysts revealed. A statistical error is not excluded, and another explanation is that there was a carryover of long-term licences from 2001/02 to 2002/03 leading to reduced bookings in the latter year. “We daresay, however, that malt export shipments in the crop year 2003/04 have increased by up to 200,000 tons and not decreased, as was prognosticated last summer,” analysts wrote in a press release.

EU malt export licence fixations:

(in tonnes) 2000 - 20012001 - 2002 2002 - 2003 July 01, 2003 - June 29, 2004 
 France 523,190 701,134 661,772 774,761 
 Germany 305,980 468,314 408,063 422,047 
 Belgium 277,584 296,368 287,850 317,292 
 U.K.  254,793 350,621 294,995 443,501 
 Finland 65,550 91,890 100,758  114,165 
 Denmark  52,326 96,812 94,791 90,452 
 Sweden 50,847 101,000 76,916  78,369 
 Netherlands 54,835 51,310 66,219 80,703 
 Ireland 26,003 35,145 31,140 38,900 
 Austria 4,850 8,840 8,620 60,211 
 Spain 3,000 2,400 5,640 10,000 
 Greece 1,800 1,744 1,306 979 
 Portugal 340 221 85 695 
 Italy 

 Total old EU 

1,621,098 2,205,799 2,038,157 2,432,075 
 New EU members                                                                   since May 01/2004
 Czech Republic    34,340 
 Poland    7,604 
 Hungary    2,830 
 Slovakia    1,000 

 Total EU  

1,621,098 2,205,799 2,038,157 2,477,849 

 Total Wheat malt, tonnes 
Total 2000/2001  4,686 
Total 2001/2002  12,805 
Total 2002/2003  30,908 
July 01/2003 – June 29/2004  15,768 
  
 Total Roasted malt, tonnes 
Total 2000/2001  23,967 
Total 2001/2002  23,480 
Total 2002/2003  23,603 
July 01/2003 – June 29/2004  23,821 
New members  617 

Malt business for the year 2004 has been reported to Romania, Russia and Ukraine. Quantities were quite substantial. Russia's beer output increased by 19,0 % during January/April of this year, the Ukrainian beer sales by 20,4 % during the same period. Russia reports that malting capacities are far from being fully used, as a consequence of last year's disastrous barley quality. More import demand is expected from both countries. Austria and the Southeastern part of the expanded EU, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary is sold out or uncompetitive, respectively, therefore malt is sold increasingly through Baltic ports again, even to Southern Russia and the Ukraine.

Ukraine, Kiev: Sarmat brewing company is to build its own malting plant near Kiev by 2007-2008. The new plant is to have a production capacity of 80 thousand tonnes of malt per annum. Sarmat group hopes the new malting will supply with malt all its brewers. Now Sarmat output about 13.8 thousand tonnes of malt per year. ZAO Sarmat group controls five breweries: OAO Lugansky Brewery (90.6% shares), OAO Crimea non-alcohol brewery (93.98%), ZAO Dnipro (99.9%), ZAO Poltavpivo (90.5%) and ZAO Kiev Brewery no 1 (77.12%). Sarmat Group is the fourth largest brewery on the Ukraine’s beer market after Sun Interbrew, Obolon and BBH. Ukraine imported approx. 13 thousand tonnes of malt in January-March 2004, 4 thousand tonnes more than in the same period last year, Galina Korenkova, the general director of ZAO Ukrpivo, revealed at the press conference on July 1. She also said Ukraine purchased about 15 thousand tonnes of barley from foreign countries, 7 thousand tonnes more than for the same period last year. G. Korenkova mentioned the increase of barley imports is attributed to a poor harvest of 2002-2003 crop year.


Barley News

Crop prospects in the Northern Hemisphere are really good, and bull markets of the crop year 2003/04 are a thing of the past. Only the old crop soybean market remains tight. Barley markets dropped to unbelievably low levels, Black Sea barley was US$ 150 FOB at the turn of the year and is about US$ 75 now, for crop 2004. Jordan purchased feed barley at US$ 116 to 110 CIF, Iran at 109, Saudi-Arabia is reported at 105, Israel a small lot at 95. In view of the world balance and the uncertainty of EU export restitution Black Sea prices are incomprehensible. French barley costs min. US$ 123 FOB Rouen.

Australia: Canberra: Australian grain marketer ABB Grain Ltd. cut on Monday, July 5, its estimate of returns for barley sales. Managing director Michael Iwaniw is attributing the decline to a number of global and domestic factors. Factors cited include a cut in import subsidies by Saudi Arabia, the world's largest importer of feed barley, large European crops and undercutting of Australian prices by eastern European sellers, Dow Jones posted on July 5. Iwaniw said Australian barley prices were also being undermined by an increasing number of sellers, who are undercutting prices to achieve sales. As a result, ABB Grain reduced its estimate of returns for growers through its collective sales program for barley grown last crop year ended March 31, 2004, and its estimate for the crop to be harvested this crop year. ABB Grain cut its estimated return for number one pool old crop feed barley by A$7 to a range A$170-A$180 a metric ton and dropped the new crop pool by A$12 to a range A$135-A$145/ton. The estimate of returns for old crop malting barley was cut A$5 to a range of A$200-A$210/ton, while the new crop estimate was cut A$10 to a range of A$165-A$175/ton. ABB Grain holds an export monopoly over barley produced in South Australia and accumulates barley and other grains elsewhere, some of which it sells through collective sales pools. The company is a major global supplier of the cereal. Iwaniw said old crop malting barley pools are still quite strong, with the company holding some unsold stocks...more info

Weather in the Northern and Eastern EU has continued variable, but altogether beneficial for grain crops. Local problems of dryness and cold temperatures will have little effect on the overall result. It can be assumed that the percentage of malting quality of winter and spring barley will be high enough to provide for all domestic needs plus an export surplus of about 1.5 million tonnes. Malting barley markets for new crop: French, July, FOB Creil, Scarlett EUR 123, Esterel (6rw) EUR 108, according to analysts. Danish, October, FOB seaport Barke/Alliott EUR 132. UK, October, FOB seaport, Optic/Cellar EUR 130. Bavarian, October, FOB Main, Scarlett EUR 136. Prices are low, they reflect a feed barley market around intervention price levels (101,31) and a low premium for malting quality. Of course, maltsters are trapped by low malt prices and try their utmost to get prices further down.

Theoretical malt prices.
  EURO = USD 1.2294 July 07, 2004 
Crop year  2003 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  July 2004-Sept 2004 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  249.50  307.00  265.00  325.50  261.50  321.00  270.50  333.00 
2RS  Prestige  247.50  304.00  262.50  322.50  258.50  318.00  268.50  329.50 
2RS  Aspen  246.50  303.00  261.50  321.50  258.00  317.50  267.50  329.00 
2RS  Optic  246.50  303.00  261.50  321.50  258.00  317.50  267.50  329.00 
2RS  Astoria  246.00  302.50  261.00  321.00  257.50  316.50  267.00  328.50 
2RS  Cork   246.00  302.50  261.00  321.00  257.50  316.50  267.00  328.50 
2RS   Average price  247.50  304.00  262.50  322.50  258.50  318.00  268.50  329.50 
2RS  FAQ  244.50  301.00  260.00  319.50  256.50  315.00  266.00  326.50 
6RW  Esterel   240.00  295.00  255.00  313.50  251.50  309.00  261.00  320.50 
Asia Malt 70/30  245.00  301.00  260.00  319.50  256.50  315.50  266.00  327.00 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  243.50  299.50  258.50  318.00  255.00  313.50  264.50  325.50 

* - 70/30 = 70% Average two Rows Spring and 30% Six Rows Winter
** - 50/50 = 50% Average two Rows Spring and 50% Six Rows Winter

Theoretical malt prices for crop 2004 are available online
www.e-malt.com/MarketPrices

Malting barley prices. French barley prices.
Nominal prices.

EURO = USD 1.2294 July 07, 2004 
 Crop year   2003   2004 
 Parity   FOB Creil   FOB Creil 
 Position   July 2003   July 2004 
Type   Variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  114.00  140.50  124.00  152.50 
2RS  Prestige  112.00  138.00  122.00  150.00 
2RS  Cellar  111.50  137.50  121.50  149.50 
2RS  Aspen  111.50  137.50  121.50  149.50 
2RS  Optic  111.50  137.50  121.50  149.50 
2RS  Astoria  111.00  136.50  121.00  149.00 
2RS  Cork   111.00  136.50  121.00  149.00 
6RW  Esterel   106.00  130.50  108.00  133.00 

nq - Not quoted

Prices for Danish and UK malting barley are available on site www.e-malt.com/MarketPrices

Graph of the week
Agenda

July 2004:
VI Moscow Beer Festival;
Lucky Baldwin's IPA Festival;
BevTek / BrewTek China;
Vermont Brewers Festival;
BEVTECH 2004 Thailand;
World Brewing Congress 2004;
Hop, malt and beer of Russia Exhibition;

August 2004:
Great British Beer Festival;
Worcester Beer and Cider Festival;
BeerTek China Beer and Brewing Technology Exhibition;
Peterborough Beer Festival 2004;
FOODWORLD Food and Beverage Exhibition;
TecnoBebida Latin America International Exhibition of Technologies for the Beverage Industry;

September 2004:
6th BELGIAN BEER WEEKEND;
China Brew 2004 / China Beverage 2004;
International Brewery and Soft Drinks Industry Exhibition;
FOOD & BEVERAGE PROCESSING & PACKAGING INDONESIA 2004;
Pivoindustria International Beer Industry Exhibition;
National Beer Wholesalers Show 2004;
PAN ASIAN FOOD & BEVERAGE TRADE SHOW 2004;
Barley Malt Quality Evaluation Short Course;
EUROMALT BARLEY SEMINAR 2004;
bevex Beverage Trade Fair;
InterBev 2004;
YUGOSLAVIA INTERNATIONAL FAIR OF FOOD & BEVERAGES 2004;
BevExpo 2004;
Great American Beer Festival;

More events are available on site e-malt.com

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07.07.2004
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